{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a23bdda8-0b91-4550-9897-01fb6b50abb3",
    "symbol": "ARCM",
    "name": "Arc Minerals Limited",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 92.023,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 11.981,
    "architecture_energy": 11.553,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.461,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.062,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.46,
        "rotation_up": 36.24,
        "upward_expansion": 34.81,
        "deceleration": 40.92,
        "rotation_down": 27.44,
        "downward_expansion": 18.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.005967,
        0.00605,
        0.00554,
        0.005455
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.0055,
    "trend_reference": 0.005552,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.009307,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.014917,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.631301,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -22.205262,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.12,
    "excess_performance": -0.171235,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009307,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05545,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.631301,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147163,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.222053,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.326483,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.12,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.869467,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 17091331,
      "relative_activity": 0.420504,
      "balance": 1.869467,
      "dry_up": 0.567728,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.255804,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.73428,
      "from_high_reference": -0.576923,
      "from_low_reference": 0.617647
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.005552,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.014917,
      "structural_low": 0.0034,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.123077,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.108718,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.171233,
        "worst_return": -0.178082,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.260274,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.249613,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.246154,
        "worst_return": -0.356164,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.191781,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.243484,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.023077,
        "worst_return": -0.506849,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.204795,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.274721,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.2,
        "worst_return": -0.609589,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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      {
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
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      {
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 39929469.95,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.028481,
        "energy": 26.453553,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.006,
        "volume": 19697352,
        "typical_volume": 40615872.6,
        "trend": 0.005593,
        "fair_value": 0.015041,
        "relative_strength": -16.283807,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.779591,
        "energy": 21.037105,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.006217,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.0055,
        "volume": 17091331,
        "typical_volume": 40644891.3,
        "trend": 0.005552,
        "fair_value": 0.014917,
        "relative_strength": -22.205262,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.981492,
        "energy": 11.553179,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}