{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a249cfc3-996c-4671-90c7-01885c506dfe", "symbol": "INFY", "name": "Infosys Ltd ADR", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -23.437, "architecture_energy": 17.471, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.665, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.18, "rotation_up": 32.91, "upward_expansion": 20.85, "deceleration": 44.06, "rotation_down": 23.44, "downward_expansion": 57.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.868, 11.54115, 11.755003, 12.195468 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 12.53, "trend_reference": 13.13818, "distance_from_trend": -0.046291, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.971956, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.261723, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.448964, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.239581, "excess_performance": -0.365206, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.046291, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.133705, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.261723, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009149, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.24449, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064347, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.239581, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.065344, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 121676685, "relative_activity": 1.25594, "balance": 1.065344, "dry_up": 1.407197, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080976, "annualized_volatility": 0.409038, "from_high_reference": -0.573152, "from_low_reference": 0.216741 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.13818, "fair_value_reference": 16.971956, "structural_low": 10.298, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.02439, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.011241, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.223953, "worst_return": -0.09602, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.034169, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.007162, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.389851, "worst_return": -0.095849, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.092409, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.088514, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.332654, "worst_return": -0.168031, 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"fair_value": 17.033909, "relative_strength": -29.776832, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.969266, "energy": 49.92881, "activity_lines": [ 11.121333, 11.318038, 11.836719, 12.509061 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.11, "volume": 137012838, "typical_volume": 96365213.95, "trend": 13.493049, "fair_value": 17.009172, "relative_strength": -31.003686, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.346312, "energy": 45.141307, "activity_lines": [ 11.162, 11.239874, 11.724094, 12.339669 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.03, "volume": 157960082, "typical_volume": 100561006.9, "trend": 13.302063, "fair_value": 16.988874, "relative_strength": -25.467972, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.675183, "energy": 28.825497, "activity_lines": [ 11.473333, 11.341717, 11.713466, 12.245279 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.53, "volume": 121676685, "typical_volume": 96880990.4, "trend": 13.13818, "fair_value": 16.971956, "relative_strength": -24.448964, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.437127, "energy": 17.470679, "activity_lines": [ 11.868, 11.54115, 11.755003, 12.195468 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }