{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a24bb1ed-d707-4e69-98ff-e03a49401235", "symbol": "OSP", "name": "Osotspa Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.977, "architecture_energy": 63.244, "architecture_maturity": 17.991, "architecture_confidence": 73.494, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.88, "rotation_up": 68.24, "upward_expansion": 86.32, "deceleration": 58.37, "rotation_down": 18.52, "downward_expansion": 10.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.546667, 17.32, 16.477814, 16.104226 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 17.799999, "trend_reference": 15.979665, "distance_from_trend": 0.113916, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.985182, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.010296, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.259225, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.027586, "excess_performance": -0.164739, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.113916, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034597, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.010296, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.215306, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.042592, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.166042, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.027586, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.58729, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53232100, "relative_activity": 1.475048, "balance": 2.58729, "dry_up": 1.188925, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041487, "annualized_volatility": 0.299889, "from_high_reference": -0.061998, "from_low_reference": 0.335112 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.979665, "fair_value_reference": 17.985182, "structural_low": 13.332215, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.064667, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.056953, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.092983, "worst_return": -0.159664, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.082016, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.096878, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.017799, "worst_return": -0.233613, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.077341, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.149962, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.052715, "worst_return": -0.326496, "sufficient": true 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"relative_strength": -9.164467, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.421777, "energy": 79.244269, "activity_lines": [ 17.366667, 16.72, 15.881429, 15.77941 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.200001, "volume": 57081500, "typical_volume": 40054420.0, "trend": 15.857159, "fair_value": 18.088697, "relative_strength": -10.000721, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.79347, "energy": 80.004852, "activity_lines": [ 17.366667, 16.905455, 16.062742, 15.870596 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.6, "volume": 22262200, "typical_volume": 37099835.0, "trend": 15.921566, "fair_value": 18.039147, "relative_strength": -6.419006, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.330127, "energy": 65.194247, "activity_lines": [ 17.42, 17.118182, 16.269294, 15.983037 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.799999, "volume": 53232100, "typical_volume": 36088380.0, "trend": 15.979665, "fair_value": 17.985182, "relative_strength": -4.259225, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.976858, "energy": 63.243899, "activity_lines": [ 17.546667, 17.32, 16.477814, 16.104226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }