{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a2546f1b-2fe3-41fa-be99-42ee8a5888a2",
    "symbol": "LEND",
    "name": "Sancus Lending Group Limited",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 16.429,
    "architecture_energy": 8.698,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.71,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.485,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 62.38,
        "rotation_up": 23.17,
        "upward_expansion": 39.49,
        "deceleration": 80.53,
        "rotation_down": 21.8,
        "downward_expansion": 26.49
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.0115,
        0.011636,
        0.01184,
        0.011491
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.0115,
    "trend_reference": 0.0107,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.074766,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.006256,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.838303,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 35.012327,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.277778,
    "excess_performance": 0.226542,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074766,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.315574,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.838303,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.283222,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.350123,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.579213,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.277778,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 303576,
      "relative_activity": 0.465064,
      "balance": 0.0,
      "dry_up": 0.760462,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.166555,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.503814,
      "from_high_reference": -0.616667,
      "from_low_reference": 2.833333
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.0107,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.006256,
      "structural_low": 0.006,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.111111,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.064546,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.4375,
        "worst_return": -0.258065,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.407407,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.376487,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.5,
        "worst_return": -0.709677,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.362605,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.335112,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.354839,
        "worst_return": -0.37037,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.346057,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.372907,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.303226,
        "worst_return": -0.388889,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-09-22",
        "end": "2023-12-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.526316,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-02-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.060606,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.258065,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.227273,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.226667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.347826,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.097778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.183673,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.483871,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.3125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": -0.041667,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1336582.65,
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        "fair_value": 0.006188,
        "relative_strength": 44.904504,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 20.003927,
        "energy": 10.160414,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0117,
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          0.011883,
          0.01124
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.0115,
        "volume": 1112181,
        "typical_volume": 1353402.6,
        "trend": 0.0102,
        "fair_value": 0.006217,
        "relative_strength": 40.979505,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.435442,
        "energy": 8.985268,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0116,
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          0.011886,
          0.01134
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.0115,
        "volume": 208789,
        "typical_volume": 1285386.6,
        "trend": 0.01045,
        "fair_value": 0.006237,
        "relative_strength": 37.315519,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.97175,
        "energy": 9.383951,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.011533,
          0.011691,
          0.011871,
          0.011424
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.0115,
        "volume": 303576,
        "typical_volume": 652761.7,
        "trend": 0.0107,
        "fair_value": 0.006256,
        "relative_strength": 35.012327,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.429337,
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        "activity_lines": [
          0.0115,
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          0.01184,
          0.011491
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}