{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a255a4fc-4a4d-495a-ab2e-c6bcfdbdb2ac",
    "symbol": "SINT",
    "name": "SinterCast AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 72.322,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.769,
    "architecture_energy": 49.451,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.217,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.329,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.68,
        "rotation_up": 53.36,
        "upward_expansion": 82.51,
        "deceleration": 51.64,
        "rotation_down": 21.43,
        "downward_expansion": 9.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        107.233333,
        106.134545,
        104.22395,
        101.15661
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 107.0,
    "trend_reference": 98.179396,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.089842,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 99.335068,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.077162,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.870233,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.120631,
    "excess_performance": 0.059137,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089842,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010117,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077162,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047011,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058702,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050837,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.120631,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.5518,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16936,
      "relative_activity": 0.854721,
      "balance": 1.5518,
      "dry_up": 0.941198,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.053025,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.248807,
      "from_high_reference": -0.036036,
      "from_low_reference": 0.273925
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 98.179396,
      "fair_value_reference": 99.335068,
      "structural_low": 83.992383,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.023756,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029719,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.089357,
        "worst_return": -0.088472,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.040552,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.124489,
        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.17451,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 17.002107,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.902983,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 93.699043,
        "volume": 13576,
        "typical_volume": 20489.5,
        "trend": 97.518664,
        "fair_value": 97.987221,
        "relative_strength": -17.357643,
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        "energy": 17.580374,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 101.028572,
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        "typical_volume": 21740.9,
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        "fair_value": 98.071589,
        "relative_strength": -10.953926,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 18.50412,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 101.523811,
        "volume": 24709,
        "typical_volume": 22626.05,
        "trend": 97.209273,
        "fair_value": 98.168482,
        "relative_strength": -9.066161,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.767913,
        "energy": 33.087919,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 101.5,
        "volume": 14468,
        "typical_volume": 23031.2,
        "trend": 97.078014,
        "fair_value": 98.259712,
        "relative_strength": -11.765793,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.588271,
        "energy": 46.519305,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 56500,
        "typical_volume": 25268.8,
        "trend": 97.196063,
        "fair_value": 98.395813,
        "relative_strength": -4.998382,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 43.980005,
        "energy": 62.953044,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 109.5,
        "volume": 4079,
        "typical_volume": 24339.45,
        "trend": 97.42892,
        "fair_value": 98.532813,
        "relative_strength": -2.947282,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.387254,
        "energy": 70.543628,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 106.0,
        "volume": 7166,
        "typical_volume": 24004.5,
        "trend": 97.561618,
        "fair_value": 98.673281,
        "relative_strength": -5.432734,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 19834,
        "typical_volume": 23969.45,
        "trend": 97.578603,
        "fair_value": 98.817157,
        "relative_strength": -7.188713,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "energy": 67.903803,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 99.599998,
        "volume": 2264,
        "typical_volume": 22638.35,
        "trend": 97.365904,
        "fair_value": 98.904474,
        "relative_strength": -11.052275,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.046189,
        "energy": 40.980331,
        "activity_lines": [
          104.366666,
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          97.733458
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 104.0,
        "volume": 4022,
        "typical_volume": 21991.55,
        "trend": 97.299873,
        "fair_value": 98.992439,
        "relative_strength": -9.167204,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.161469,
        "energy": 29.424209,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 106.0,
        "volume": 26184,
        "typical_volume": 20681.5,
        "trend": 97.416063,
        "fair_value": 99.065667,
        "relative_strength": -4.89636,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.177212,
        "energy": 29.468655,
        "activity_lines": [
          104.12,
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          100.943496,
          98.722763
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 105.0,
        "volume": 20872,
        "typical_volume": 20599.7,
        "trend": 97.564952,
        "fair_value": 99.118707,
        "relative_strength": -4.350205,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.72811,
        "energy": 25.883098,
        "activity_lines": [
          104.38,
          104.804069,
          101.699133,
          99.212049
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 108.5,
        "volume": 26699,
        "typical_volume": 21137.55,
        "trend": 97.814,
        "fair_value": 99.196938,
        "relative_strength": -2.278131,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.412947,
        "energy": 40.767699,
        "activity_lines": [
          105.873333,
          105.492727,
          102.707877,
          99.917536
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 108.0,
        "volume": 10091,
        "typical_volume": 20612.5,
        "trend": 97.980349,
        "fair_value": 99.271964,
        "relative_strength": -3.628603,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.037171,
        "energy": 45.613163,
        "activity_lines": [
          107.0,
          105.963636,
          103.568335,
          100.574697
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 107.0,
        "volume": 16936,
        "typical_volume": 19814.65,
        "trend": 98.179396,
        "fair_value": 99.335068,
        "relative_strength": -5.870233,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.769165,
        "energy": 49.451035,
        "activity_lines": [
          107.233333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}