{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a2669b23-b0d7-4d06-91fd-189e28951b14", "symbol": "RLE", "name": "Real Estate Investors Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 75.858, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.842, "architecture_energy": 15.17, "architecture_maturity": 24.111, "architecture_confidence": 71.458, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.99, "rotation_up": 28.99, "upward_expansion": 55.7, "deceleration": 79.56, "rotation_down": 27.16, "downward_expansion": 19.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.309867, 0.310687, 0.309514, 0.307814 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.309, "trend_reference": 0.306622, "distance_from_trend": 0.007756, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.29377, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.051844, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.869743, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.009814, "excess_performance": -0.041421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007756, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005323, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.051844, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019266, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.078697, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020742, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.009814, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.241737, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 393337, "relative_activity": 0.782053, "balance": 0.241737, "dry_up": 0.737039, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024912, "annualized_volatility": 0.113469, "from_high_reference": -0.039496, "from_low_reference": 0.132432 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.306622, "fair_value_reference": 0.29377, "structural_low": 0.272864, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.011851, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.100001, "worst_return": -0.054617, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.016169, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.010175, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.148086, "worst_return": -0.069233, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.005306, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.032488, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.239799, "worst_return": -0.139258, "sufficient": true 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0.307041 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.312, "volume": 191625, "typical_volume": 598250.3, "trend": 0.30697, "fair_value": 0.292605, "relative_strength": -5.280788, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.386807, "energy": 39.265292, "activity_lines": [ 0.3125, 0.311317, 0.308608, 0.307354 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.312, "volume": 281768, "typical_volume": 589334.65, "trend": 0.307008, "fair_value": 0.293001, "relative_strength": -6.205294, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.577135, "energy": 39.49569, "activity_lines": [ 0.31245, 0.311623, 0.309185, 0.307678 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.307, "volume": 616057, "typical_volume": 562723.75, "trend": 0.306879, "fair_value": 0.293379, "relative_strength": -8.503756, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.385143, "energy": 20.409723, "activity_lines": [ 0.310683, 0.310971, 0.309256, 0.307678 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.309, "volume": 393337, "typical_volume": 502954.2, "trend": 0.306622, "fair_value": 0.29377, "relative_strength": -7.869743, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.841745, "energy": 15.170423, "activity_lines": [ 0.309867, 0.310687, 0.309514, 0.307814 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }