{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a272a343-26e4-4e0e-a820-93b156f8a12a",
    "symbol": "CBSE",
    "name": "CLOUGH SELECT EQUITY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 67.589,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 21.946,
    "architecture_energy": 23.288,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.97,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.331,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.73,
        "rotation_up": 17.41,
        "upward_expansion": 52.06,
        "deceleration": 93.91,
        "rotation_down": 38.93,
        "downward_expansion": 20.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        47.64668,
        48.636445,
        48.627722,
        47.323474
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 47.9876,
    "trend_reference": 45.71881,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.049625,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.029317,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.410184,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.875606,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.127557,
    "excess_performance": 0.001932,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049625,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073483,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.410184,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.101923,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008756,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08209,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127557,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.582706,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 24576,
      "relative_activity": 0.837588,
      "balance": 0.582706,
      "dry_up": 0.793146,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048738,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.2086,
      "from_high_reference": -0.091488,
      "from_low_reference": 0.303531
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 45.71881,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.029317,
      "structural_low": 38.595,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.032502,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021266,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.082796,
        "worst_return": -0.091326,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.045031,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02492,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.126989,
        "worst_return": 0.017117,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.142205,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034197,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.302966,
        "worst_return": 0.065525,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.061,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.10169,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.115009,
        "worst_return": 0.006991,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.121523,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.045636,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.042589,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.035837,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.118365,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.050292,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.066142,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.151107,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016096,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.049239,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.088745,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.036225,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 21942.4,
        "trend": 41.276229,
        "fair_value": 31.534065,
        "relative_strength": 8.11485,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 80.321509,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": 6.523854,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 21047.6,
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        "fair_value": 31.850062,
        "relative_strength": 7.333423,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "fair_value": 32.018757,
        "relative_strength": 8.975317,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 20243.6,
        "trend": 42.254163,
        "fair_value": 32.192925,
        "relative_strength": 8.473907,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 91.175881,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "trend": 42.589232,
        "fair_value": 32.368716,
        "relative_strength": 8.337073,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 42.893743,
        "fair_value": 32.5291,
        "relative_strength": 5.928832,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 21074.4,
        "trend": 43.299693,
        "fair_value": 32.701664,
        "relative_strength": 9.206418,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 61.787056,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 32.888684,
        "relative_strength": 11.926935,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 33.067304,
        "relative_strength": 12.745247,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.837581,
        "energy": 59.554376,
        "activity_lines": [
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          45.954271
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 50.3671,
        "volume": 74633,
        "typical_volume": 29100.9,
        "trend": 44.471586,
        "fair_value": 33.244361,
        "relative_strength": 8.575696,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.300475,
        "energy": 55.960424,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.617253,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 49.7922,
        "volume": 14605,
        "typical_volume": 29131.15,
        "trend": 44.791837,
        "fair_value": 33.411965,
        "relative_strength": 5.675963,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.892769,
        "energy": 52.279202,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.47248,
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          46.699104
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 48.6279,
        "volume": 25246,
        "typical_volume": 29511.15,
        "trend": 45.087377,
        "fair_value": 33.570738,
        "relative_strength": 4.680769,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.619103,
        "energy": 38.330983,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.821307,
          49.92758,
          48.504124,
          46.946592
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 47.4914,
        "volume": 11174,
        "typical_volume": 28815.3,
        "trend": 45.336063,
        "fair_value": 33.722573,
        "relative_strength": 2.724145,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.010751,
        "energy": 23.741585,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.876627,
          49.499249,
          48.598342,
          47.101691
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 46.31,
        "volume": 32092,
        "typical_volume": 28641.55,
        "trend": 45.52389,
        "fair_value": 33.87018,
        "relative_strength": -0.939315,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.219979,
        "energy": 21.019112,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.823387,
          48.886456,
          48.547977,
          47.164525
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.9876,
        "volume": 24576,
        "typical_volume": 29341.4,
        "trend": 45.71881,
        "fair_value": 34.029317,
        "relative_strength": -0.875606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.945513,
        "energy": 23.288204,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.64668,
          48.636445,
          48.627722,
          47.323474
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}