{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a279347c-88ee-4aaa-ad59-5c739a157b78", "symbol": "2406", "name": "Gigastorage Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.77, "architecture_energy": 27.447, "architecture_maturity": 12.882, "architecture_confidence": 64.381, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.79, "rotation_up": 18.61, "upward_expansion": 19.26, "deceleration": 54.37, "rotation_down": 61.25, "downward_expansion": 46.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.82, 32.922727, 33.523095, 33.393333 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 29.200001, "trend_reference": 32.846667, "distance_from_trend": -0.111021, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.73141, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.408491, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.964597, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.006803, "excess_performance": -0.448175, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.111021, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.128493, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.408491, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.185402, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.239646, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.194456, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.006803, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.95504, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33113647, "relative_activity": 0.41554, "balance": 2.95504, "dry_up": 0.543025, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.20785, "annualized_volatility": 0.675736, "from_high_reference": -0.364527, "from_low_reference": 0.64507 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.846667, "fair_value_reference": 20.73141, "structural_low": 27.450001, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.018468, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.039482, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.132701, "worst_return": -0.165414, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.121693, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.041357, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.159509, "worst_return": -0.198675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.038043, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.071956, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.699387, "worst_return": -0.279208, 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"2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.173367, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.257407, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.358885, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.106169, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.068581, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-11", "close": 15.85, "volume": 3688170, "typical_volume": 6199840.2, "trend": 18.608334, "fair_value": 20.831796, "relative_strength": -22.982625, "stage": 4, "regime": 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"stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.397945, "energy": 16.852751, "activity_lines": [ 35.676667, 35.740909, 34.518571, 33.693011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 33.349998, "volume": 60809231, "typical_volume": 99793802.2, "trend": 32.378333, "fair_value": 20.464743, "relative_strength": -8.447296, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.643624, "energy": 15.665637, "activity_lines": [ 34.806666, 35.43, 34.452381, 33.774516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.15, "volume": 44248270, "typical_volume": 95089674.9, "trend": 32.506667, "fair_value": 20.557692, "relative_strength": -13.840201, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.652158, "energy": 13.200693, "activity_lines": [ 33.303333, 34.673636, 34.180238, 33.695269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.35, "volume": 34919702, "typical_volume": 85667053.15, "trend": 32.723333, "fair_value": 20.650641, "relative_strength": -15.733095, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.246876, "energy": 15.379664, "activity_lines": [ 32.093333, 33.964545, 33.940476, 33.620645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 29.200001, "volume": 33113647, "typical_volume": 79688211.4, "trend": 32.846667, "fair_value": 20.73141, "relative_strength": -23.964597, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.769593, "energy": 27.446705, "activity_lines": [ 30.82, 32.922727, 33.523095, 33.393333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }