{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a2829874-6cd3-432d-aabd-6d10fe152a42", "symbol": "300416", "name": "Suzhou Sushi Testing Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.983, "architecture_energy": 69.297, "architecture_maturity": 14.527, "architecture_confidence": 75.667, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.61, "rotation_up": 10.77, "upward_expansion": 16.52, "deceleration": 35.62, "rotation_down": 71.92, "downward_expansion": 85.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.758, 16.284909, 17.068125, 17.250806 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 15.32, "trend_reference": 17.641392, "distance_from_trend": -0.131588, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.948167, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.024875, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.983396, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.155722, "excess_performance": -0.163122, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.131588, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018147, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.024875, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142204, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.139834, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014128, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.155722, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.232001, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 84398004, "relative_activity": 0.921807, "balance": 1.232001, "dry_up": 1.217483, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.14068, "annualized_volatility": 0.525703, "from_high_reference": -0.297459, "from_low_reference": 0.200627 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.641392, "fair_value_reference": 14.948167, "structural_low": 12.76, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.011273, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": 0.005077, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 0.280667, "worst_return": -0.165584, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.007321, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.017604, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.264516, "worst_return": -0.231605, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.086196, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.075179, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.238876, "worst_return": -0.246033, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.786673, "energy": 13.553265, "activity_lines": [ 17.715333, 18.213213, 17.961532, 17.920736 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.61, "volume": 116183726, "typical_volume": 90025516.35, "trend": 17.855521, "fair_value": 14.984743, "relative_strength": -21.399325, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.600132, "energy": 49.170843, "activity_lines": [ 16.054, 17.374154, 17.573604, 17.639594 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.23, "volume": 88300243, "typical_volume": 91099170.35, "trend": 17.7207, "fair_value": 14.960596, "relative_strength": -16.304897, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.825519, "energy": 63.447675, "activity_lines": [ 15.019333, 16.698, 17.263156, 17.40569 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.32, "volume": 84398004, "typical_volume": 91557130.25, "trend": 17.641392, "fair_value": 14.948167, "relative_strength": -13.983396, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.983314, "energy": 69.297416, "activity_lines": [ 14.758, 16.284909, 17.068125, 17.250806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }