{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a29a5531-17be-4be1-990f-b388d344d5b4", "symbol": "LYPSAGEMS", "name": "Aurus Gem Corporation Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.148, "architecture_energy": 24.966, "architecture_maturity": 16.537, "architecture_confidence": 86.435, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.37, "rotation_up": 20.79, "upward_expansion": 6.83, "deceleration": 50.53, "rotation_down": 42.14, "downward_expansion": 68.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.714667, 4.728909, 4.853429, 4.908108 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.81, "trend_reference": 4.981, "distance_from_trend": -0.03433, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.302949, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.236865, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.586718, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.097561, "excess_performance": -0.053852, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.03433, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025499, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.236865, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080504, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.095867, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007682, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.097561, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.464483, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 119284, "relative_activity": 0.860888, "balance": 0.464483, "dry_up": 0.513373, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094035, "annualized_volatility": 0.377341, "from_high_reference": -0.35781, "from_low_reference": 0.173171 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.981, "fair_value_reference": 6.302949, "structural_low": 4.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.003472, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.029899, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.535117, "worst_return": -0.21021, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.027303, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.036779, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.482639, "worst_return": -0.223724, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.035952, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.048651, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.340278, "worst_return": -0.252101, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 5.033, "fair_value": 6.310577, "relative_strength": -12.369821, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.694675, "energy": 41.847607, "activity_lines": [ 4.701333, 4.790545, 4.912571, 4.965441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.8, "volume": 69401, "typical_volume": 147886.55, "trend": 5.022667, "fair_value": 6.311859, "relative_strength": -8.360817, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.634866, "energy": 36.54329, "activity_lines": [ 4.722667, 4.778545, 4.899429, 4.950409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.55, "volume": 63311, "typical_volume": 138266.05, "trend": 4.993, "fair_value": 6.311538, "relative_strength": -14.519179, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.591523, "energy": 41.364521, "activity_lines": [ 4.666, 4.726727, 4.863619, 4.919914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.81, "volume": 119284, "typical_volume": 138559.2, "trend": 4.981, "fair_value": 6.302949, "relative_strength": -9.586718, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.148132, "energy": 24.966121, "activity_lines": [ 4.714667, 4.728909, 4.853429, 4.908108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }