{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a29d568b-2fe9-4f42-a746-3a783083dab6", "symbol": "RRR", "name": "Red Rock Resources Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.153, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.6, "architecture_energy": 24.556, "architecture_maturity": 19.223, "architecture_confidence": 78.368, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.94, "rotation_up": 12.49, "upward_expansion": 8.55, "deceleration": 53.09, "rotation_down": 52.59, "downward_expansion": 69.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.000208, 0.000213, 0.000213, 0.000215 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.00021, "trend_reference": 0.000225, "distance_from_trend": -0.065282, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.000504, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.583471, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.378761, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.222222, "excess_performance": -0.273458, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.065282, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130323, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.583471, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096233, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.293788, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064021, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.222222, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.324263, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45968391, "relative_activity": 0.262401, "balance": 6.324263, "dry_up": 0.648176, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.14652, "annualized_volatility": 0.529846, "from_high_reference": -0.58, "from_low_reference": 0.235294 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.000225, "fair_value_reference": 0.000504, "structural_low": 0.00017, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.16, "positive_rate": 0.117647, "directional_follow_through": 0.117647, "median_excess_return": -0.124506, "regime_survival": 0.529412, "best_return": 0.315789, "worst_return": -0.27027, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.2, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.168593, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.344, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.298652, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.383912, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.24, "worst_return": -0.675676, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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}, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.00021, "volume": 40145712, "typical_volume": 181461774.1, "trend": 0.000228, "fair_value": 0.00054, "relative_strength": -28.394434, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.621193, "energy": 11.391375, "activity_lines": [ 0.00022, 0.000221, 0.000215, 0.00022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.00021, "volume": 57636906, "typical_volume": 175680743.5, "trend": 0.000228, "fair_value": 0.000531, "relative_strength": -28.808249, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.933728, "energy": 16.219297, "activity_lines": [ 0.000215, 0.00022, 0.000215, 0.000219 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0002, "volume": 126951710, "typical_volume": 176193753.85, "trend": 0.000227, "fair_value": 0.000522, "relative_strength": -32.647133, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.377483, "energy": 26.725585, "activity_lines": [ 0.000209, 0.000216, 0.000213, 0.000217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.00021, "volume": 223643459, "typical_volume": 184231064.9, "trend": 0.000226, "fair_value": 0.000513, "relative_strength": -29.734966, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.816702, "energy": 23.430824, "activity_lines": [ 0.000207, 0.000215, 0.000213, 0.000216 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.00021, "volume": 45968391, "typical_volume": 175184010.85, "trend": 0.000225, "fair_value": 0.000504, "relative_strength": -29.378761, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.600221, "energy": 24.555957, "activity_lines": [ 0.000208, 0.000213, 0.000213, 0.000215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }