{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a2a197b9-03dd-413d-acff-4c942ef90105",
    "symbol": "2114",
    "name": "Hsin Yung Chien Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 56.897,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 36.045,
    "architecture_energy": 17.252,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.946,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.384,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.72,
        "rotation_up": 26.82,
        "upward_expansion": 53.82,
        "deceleration": 88.4,
        "rotation_down": 24.9,
        "downward_expansion": 17.49
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        88.113331,
        88.299999,
        87.969067,
        87.11684
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 88.599998,
    "trend_reference": 86.159072,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.02833,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 86.960236,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.018856,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -25.04071,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.045936,
    "excess_performance": -0.299796,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02833,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013463,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018856,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038288,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.250407,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086445,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045936,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.004372,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 96232,
      "relative_activity": 0.290537,
      "balance": 1.004372,
      "dry_up": 0.484275,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029304,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.08908,
      "from_high_reference": -0.046286,
      "from_low_reference": 0.082212
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 86.159072,
      "fair_value_reference": 86.960236,
      "structural_low": 81.86938,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.00222,
        "positive_rate": 0.222222,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.222222,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006581,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.092648,
        "worst_return": -0.035922,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.003319,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.028022,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.009709,
        "worst_return": -0.116269,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.019912,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016329,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.024272,
        "worst_return": -0.146154,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.07749,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.175834,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.00142,
        "worst_return": -0.1564,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.031219,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.041445,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016741,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.026936,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.030463,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010033,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.006637,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.007769,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.006704,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": -0.005319,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.025556,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.010262,
        "active": true
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        "fair_value": 86.915828,
        "relative_strength": -31.631947,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.591918,
        "energy": 27.740857,
        "activity_lines": [
          83.806482,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 168922.85,
        "trend": 84.680385,
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        "relative_strength": -35.527347,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 28.953938,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 431341,
        "typical_volume": 183785.65,
        "trend": 84.623597,
        "fair_value": 86.942028,
        "relative_strength": -33.950508,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -50.622417,
        "energy": 27.930898,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 610003,
        "typical_volume": 210130.8,
        "trend": 84.626752,
        "fair_value": 86.966571,
        "relative_strength": -33.68516,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.467537,
        "energy": 9.200366,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.185066,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 88.96788,
        "volume": 765072,
        "typical_volume": 240599.85,
        "trend": 84.743483,
        "fair_value": 86.993349,
        "relative_strength": -33.861486,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.628412,
        "energy": 42.288689,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.844538,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 88.494644,
        "volume": 901628,
        "typical_volume": 276967.3,
        "trend": 84.850749,
        "fair_value": 87.019706,
        "relative_strength": -33.914829,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.920484,
        "energy": 72.350784,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.999227,
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          84.950353,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 90.0,
        "volume": 700172,
        "typical_volume": 303391.95,
        "trend": 85.014504,
        "fair_value": 87.037421,
        "relative_strength": -30.650353,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.067995,
        "energy": 81.846179,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 89.0,
        "volume": 369165,
        "typical_volume": 315243.25,
        "trend": 85.12915,
        "fair_value": 87.012142,
        "relative_strength": -34.018712,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.366649,
        "energy": 78.5802,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.91309,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 88.5,
        "volume": 426098,
        "typical_volume": 326319.2,
        "trend": 85.258679,
        "fair_value": 86.978432,
        "relative_strength": -30.797998,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.461001,
        "energy": 72.822255,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 90.5,
        "volume": 381664,
        "typical_volume": 340477.4,
        "trend": 85.4391,
        "fair_value": 86.954929,
        "relative_strength": -31.73264,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.685854,
        "energy": 62.806424,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 89.699997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 335173.95,
        "trend": 85.599165,
        "fair_value": 86.939363,
        "relative_strength": -29.351651,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.527951,
        "energy": 49.986657,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.599999,
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          87.027866,
          86.293913
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 87.800003,
        "volume": 189000,
        "typical_volume": 329978.25,
        "trend": 85.692741,
        "fair_value": 86.935136,
        "relative_strength": -25.672416,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.744835,
        "energy": 40.26295,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.02,
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          86.435903
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 87.800003,
        "volume": 249300,
        "typical_volume": 332873.05,
        "trend": 85.780007,
        "fair_value": 86.928042,
        "relative_strength": -26.520381,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.353066,
        "energy": 30.791602,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.586668,
          88.799934,
          87.37685,
          86.571855
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 87.699997,
        "volume": 219210,
        "typical_volume": 330149.7,
        "trend": 85.870249,
        "fair_value": 86.934007,
        "relative_strength": -24.874532,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.114105,
        "energy": 21.089583,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.2,
          88.635585,
          87.520414,
          86.695726
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 87.699997,
        "volume": 155002,
        "typical_volume": 329612.25,
        "trend": 85.951027,
        "fair_value": 86.931752,
        "relative_strength": -25.905365,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.072339,
        "energy": 20.092228,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.866666,
          88.427175,
          87.647029,
          86.813774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 88.099998,
        "volume": 171165,
        "typical_volume": 331463.1,
        "trend": 86.051449,
        "fair_value": 86.940281,
        "relative_strength": -27.292875,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.152167,
        "energy": 17.558703,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.853332,
          88.314545,
          87.794341,
          86.952417
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 88.599998,
        "volume": 96232,
        "typical_volume": 331221.65,
        "trend": 86.159072,
        "fair_value": 86.960236,
        "relative_strength": -25.04071,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.045129,
        "energy": 17.251778,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.113331,
          88.299999,
          87.969067,
          87.11684
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}