{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a2b5f8b5-5b79-4271-85d8-10f33bc78592", "symbol": "3288", "name": "Silicon Touch Technology Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 51.991, "architecture_energy": 32.234, "architecture_maturity": 49.414, "architecture_confidence": 45.362, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.95, "rotation_up": 44.4, "upward_expansion": 74.75, "deceleration": 70.21, "rotation_down": 22.31, "downward_expansion": 3.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.696667, 22.363637, 20.817143, 19.456989 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 20.200001, "trend_reference": 18.02, "distance_from_trend": 0.120977, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.203205, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.090221, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.066956, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.250774, "excess_performance": -0.190598, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.120977, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10972, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.090221, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.22543, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.18067, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.238323, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.250774, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.975124, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 239860, "relative_activity": 0.70757, "balance": 0.975124, "dry_up": 1.834472, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.233435, "annualized_volatility": 0.854528, "from_high_reference": -0.354633, "from_low_reference": 0.432624 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.02, "fair_value_reference": 22.203205, "structural_low": 14.1, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.014855, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.04627, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.27512, "worst_return": -0.242026, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.085714, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.10701, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.042553, "worst_return": -0.148936, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.077128, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.230006, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.035461, "worst_return": -0.102041, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"volume": 1318642, "typical_volume": 307134.9, "trend": 17.398333, "fair_value": 22.183013, "relative_strength": -6.509937, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.08377, "energy": 41.315038, "activity_lines": [ 22.433333, 21.724545, 19.56, 18.454946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.700001, "volume": 533181, "typical_volume": 329427.7, "trend": 17.688333, "fair_value": 22.205449, "relative_strength": 8.193836, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.040343, "energy": 50.129187, "activity_lines": [ 23.723334, 22.625455, 20.298095, 18.990538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.6, "volume": 395798, "typical_volume": 330147.5, "trend": 17.881667, "fair_value": 22.210577, "relative_strength": -6.206059, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.897815, "energy": 45.69836, "activity_lines": [ 23.703334, 22.767273, 20.689524, 19.307419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 20.200001, "volume": 239860, "typical_volume": 338991.4, "trend": 18.02, "fair_value": 22.203205, "relative_strength": -18.066956, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.99097, "energy": 32.234414, "activity_lines": [ 22.696667, 22.363637, 20.817143, 19.456989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }