{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a2b99806-8a1d-49fa-9c5d-989178b46bab",
    "symbol": "ASEFA",
    "name": "Asefa Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.535,
    "architecture_energy": 65.844,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.542,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.77,
        "rotation_up": 57.29,
        "upward_expansion": 82.72,
        "deceleration": 71.49,
        "rotation_down": 24.82,
        "downward_expansion": 11.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.05,
        5.931818,
        5.472298,
        5.027133
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 6.25,
    "trend_reference": 4.454093,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.403204,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.310915,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.887696,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 39.997348,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.947213,
    "excess_performance": 0.754888,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.403204,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.249922,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.887696,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.639725,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.399973,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.389393,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.947213,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.724895,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8106800,
      "relative_activity": 2.899003,
      "balance": 3.724895,
      "dry_up": 2.140477,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.076185,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.374751,
      "from_high_reference": -0.05303,
      "from_low_reference": 1.129764
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.454093,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.310915,
      "structural_low": 3.154692,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.010256,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009299,
        "regime_survival": 0.761905,
        "best_return": 0.27193,
        "worst_return": -0.12766,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.021278,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004438,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.402368,
        "worst_return": -0.061855,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.024508,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031374,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.041667,
        "worst_return": -0.089671,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.051213,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.138487,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.736265,
        "worst_return": -0.182178,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2024-01-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.043478,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-12",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047368,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.002973,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.01105,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005618,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.164773,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.072368,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.049689,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.011905,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018292,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.029586,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.028571,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.63828,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 842225.0,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 27.699483,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2265855.0,
        "trend": 4.169009,
        "fair_value": 3.257759,
        "relative_strength": 37.762355,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 71.262867,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.81,
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          5.090157,
          4.677728
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.05,
        "volume": 3218800,
        "typical_volume": 2351850.0,
        "trend": 4.263074,
        "fair_value": 3.275371,
        "relative_strength": 35.226672,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.65081,
        "energy": 67.350702,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.896667,
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          5.226937,
          4.799083
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.9,
        "volume": 3210000,
        "typical_volume": 2419125.0,
        "trend": 4.352139,
        "fair_value": 3.291914,
        "relative_strength": 32.473343,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.452534,
        "energy": 62.400117,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.916667,
          5.845455,
          5.338352,
          4.904691
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.25,
        "volume": 8106800,
        "typical_volume": 2796410.0,
        "trend": 4.454093,
        "fair_value": 3.310915,
        "relative_strength": 39.997348,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.534964,
        "energy": 65.8435,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.05,
          5.931818,
          5.472298,
          5.027133
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}