{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a2e3d371-2db0-4755-8707-8fe84a8354b1",
    "symbol": "GCBC",
    "name": "Greene County Bancorp Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.868,
    "architecture_energy": 63.686,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.329,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.58,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.72,
        "rotation_up": 62.97,
        "upward_expansion": 86.59,
        "deceleration": 64.81,
        "rotation_down": 23.75,
        "downward_expansion": 10.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 34.57,
    "trend_reference": 26.222029,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.318357,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.093943,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.324829,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 22.931273,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.422087,
    "excess_performance": 0.234634,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.318357,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134947,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.324829,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.408921,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.229313,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.365395,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.422087,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.266825,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 199788,
      "relative_activity": 1.345584,
      "balance": 3.266825,
      "dry_up": 1.19371,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.074541,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.293907,
      "from_high_reference": -0.040255,
      "from_low_reference": 0.647644
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 26.222029,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.093943,
      "structural_low": 21.294137,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.017815,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000776,
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        "best_return": 0.254888,
        "worst_return": -0.240275,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.153712,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 23.558027,
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        "relative_strength": 9.362175,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 103264.6,
        "trend": 24.120182,
        "fair_value": 25.995881,
        "relative_strength": 21.137516,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.102111,
        "energy": 96.602622,
        "activity_lines": [
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          26.085833,
          25.117246
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 113085.6,
        "trend": 24.517108,
        "fair_value": 26.046065,
        "relative_strength": 26.507938,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 96.665198,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 126933.4,
        "trend": 24.772491,
        "fair_value": 26.076074,
        "relative_strength": 14.971194,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.853315,
        "energy": 82.082762,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.432667,
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          27.680166,
          26.284517
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 32.85,
        "volume": 136162,
        "typical_volume": 130988.8,
        "trend": 25.061808,
        "fair_value": 26.090946,
        "relative_strength": 22.699994,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.491541,
        "energy": 75.668475,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.772667,
          31.195091,
          28.357811,
          26.805647
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.0,
        "volume": 246722,
        "typical_volume": 141242.3,
        "trend": 25.409022,
        "fair_value": 26.090029,
        "relative_strength": 24.981459,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.195349,
        "energy": 65.762772,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.984,
          31.818182,
          28.997985,
          27.317788
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.46,
        "volume": 126281,
        "typical_volume": 145023.55,
        "trend": 25.80496,
        "fair_value": 26.093848,
        "relative_strength": 25.559847,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.162035,
        "energy": 62.965136,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.11,
          32.375818,
          29.63116,
          27.837206
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.57,
        "volume": 199788,
        "typical_volume": 148476.75,
        "trend": 26.222029,
        "fair_value": 26.093943,
        "relative_strength": 22.931273,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.868409,
        "energy": 63.685658,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.564,
          32.982727,
          30.314583,
          28.402693
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}