{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a2e85140-c760-49a9-bcba-3937c0de80de", "symbol": "204450", "name": "Samsung Kodex China H Leverage ETF - Equity-Derivatives", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -27.83, "architecture_energy": 24.552, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 77.287, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.3, "rotation_up": 37.26, "upward_expansion": 21.07, "deceleration": 44.14, "rotation_down": 21.61, "downward_expansion": 55.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 2319.666667, 2230.145455, 2293.490476, 2366.253763 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2360.0, "trend_reference": 2490.2, "distance_from_trend": -0.052285, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2188.179487, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.078522, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.425758, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.164602, "excess_performance": -0.39443, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.052285, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084485, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.078522, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144164, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.334258, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.175756, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.164602, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.498408, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 238513, "relative_activity": 0.572404, "balance": 0.498408, "dry_up": 1.067096, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084094, "annualized_volatility": 0.376904, "from_high_reference": -0.298663, "from_low_reference": 0.287507 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2490.2, "fair_value_reference": 2188.179487, 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"direction": -47.501995, "energy": 37.137309, "activity_lines": [ 2170.333333, 2169.545455, 2291.690476, 2383.623656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2400.0, "volume": 544373, "typical_volume": 427610.6, "trend": 2506.2, "fair_value": 2185.615385, "relative_strength": -36.832202, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.409725, "energy": 22.994085, "activity_lines": [ 2270.266667, 2202.890909, 2294.138095, 2375.686022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2360.0, "volume": 238513, "typical_volume": 416686.7, "trend": 2490.2, "fair_value": 2188.179487, "relative_strength": -33.425758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.830252, "energy": 24.552008, "activity_lines": [ 2319.666667, 2230.145455, 2293.490476, 2366.253763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }