{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a2eb4d3e-7977-4ea4-a2d1-8899b615aee8",
    "symbol": "ICLN",
    "name": "ISHARES GLOBAL CLEAN ENERGY ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 56.119,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -26.487,
    "architecture_energy": 53.71,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.127,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.458,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.81,
        "rotation_up": 14.58,
        "upward_expansion": 26.1,
        "deceleration": 50.06,
        "rotation_down": 69.65,
        "downward_expansion": 55.76
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        18.068667,
        18.725856,
        19.700325,
        19.587195
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 18.3,
    "trend_reference": 19.295359,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.051585,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14.622495,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.251496,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.011298,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.014036,
    "excess_performance": -0.20149,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051585,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047396,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.251496,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.214446,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.100113,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.195367,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014036,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.071357,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 49106707,
      "relative_activity": 1.640735,
      "balance": 1.071357,
      "dry_up": 1.082607,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.084199,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.283696,
      "from_high_reference": -0.228394,
      "from_low_reference": 0.369359
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.295359,
      "fair_value_reference": 14.622495,
      "structural_low": 16.77,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.002178,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034933,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.14214,
        "worst_return": -0.057795,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.011648,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039393,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.150262,
        "worst_return": -0.126966,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.007357,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.072675,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.105592,
        "worst_return": -0.090878,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.04497,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.251895,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.3423,
        "worst_return": -0.25236,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.078829,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.071767,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.020833,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.058555,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.037895,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027848,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.022376,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.295302,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.040146,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.042725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.086835,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.021912,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.096085,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042735,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 27979896.75,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 28049803.75,
        "trend": 19.244642,
        "fair_value": 14.600738,
        "relative_strength": -7.427376,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.379869,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 17.55,
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        "typical_volume": 28717669.9,
        "trend": 19.261157,
        "fair_value": 14.608478,
        "relative_strength": -9.20187,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.160412,
        "energy": 56.887816,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.3,
        "volume": 49106707,
        "typical_volume": 29929698.8,
        "trend": 19.295359,
        "fair_value": 14.622495,
        "relative_strength": -10.011298,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.486797,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}