{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a2f3f6d5-5ab3-4736-98d1-9cc4a792f71a", "symbol": "LRV", "name": "Larvotto Resources Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 54.157, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.713, "architecture_energy": 36.221, "architecture_maturity": 7.404, "architecture_confidence": 75.585, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.54, "rotation_up": 16.52, "upward_expansion": 9.04, "deceleration": 39.17, "rotation_down": 51.28, "downward_expansion": 77.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.176333, 1.192182, 1.229452, 1.24057 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.295, "trend_reference": 1.272667, "distance_from_trend": 0.017548, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.623915, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.075604, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.253838, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.044355, "excess_performance": -0.019351, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.017548, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020992, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.075604, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.434948, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.072538, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.255953, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.044355, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.084304, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8925862, "relative_activity": 1.081249, "balance": 1.084304, "dry_up": 1.003954, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.139293, "annualized_volatility": 0.648248, "from_high_reference": -0.224551, "from_low_reference": 1.08871 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.272667, "fair_value_reference": 0.623915, "structural_low": 0.95, "invalidation": "A 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"mixed", "direction": -3.852098, "energy": 5.738947, "activity_lines": [ 1.252333, 1.268818, 1.266381, 1.273903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.02, "volume": 12522505, "typical_volume": 10116154.85, "trend": 1.270667, "fair_value": 0.603613, "relative_strength": -9.102259, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.211601, "energy": 50.211032, "activity_lines": [ 1.176, 1.219727, 1.24319, 1.257731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.13, "volume": 8101041, "typical_volume": 9633816.5, "trend": 1.271167, "fair_value": 0.610068, "relative_strength": 0.245705, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.953506, "energy": 47.819369, "activity_lines": [ 1.15, 1.196364, 1.232714, 1.248656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.12, "volume": 3601697, "typical_volume": 8842164.65, "trend": 1.269167, "fair_value": 0.616458, "relative_strength": -3.522858, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.459305, "energy": 54.248483, "activity_lines": [ 1.131333, 1.176636, 1.222405, 1.238903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.295, "volume": 8925862, "typical_volume": 8255139.3, "trend": 1.272667, "fair_value": 0.623915, "relative_strength": 7.253838, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.71341, "energy": 36.221103, "activity_lines": [ 1.176333, 1.192182, 1.229452, 1.24057 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }