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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.764, "architecture_energy": 48.574, "architecture_maturity": 10.532, "architecture_confidence": 89.536, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.03, "rotation_up": 56.95, "upward_expansion": 80.54, "deceleration": 54.29, "rotation_down": 20.01, "downward_expansion": 7.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 96.813332, 96.003636, 95.267789, 93.558264 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 97.599998, "trend_reference": 91.543333, "distance_from_trend": 0.066162, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 82.681407, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.180435, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.078414, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.082297, "excess_performance": 0.028986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066162, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039365, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.180435, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056278, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.030784, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03215, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.082297, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.211874, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 202, "relative_activity": 0.143604, "balance": 2.211874, "dry_up": 0.327551, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032145, "annualized_volatility": 0.209789, "from_high_reference": -0.066029, "from_low_reference": 0.239365 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 91.543333, "fair_value_reference": 82.681407, "structural_low": 78.749997, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.542216, "energy": 43.53658, "activity_lines": [ 96.213333, 95.643637, 94.84051, 93.148095 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 97.599998, "volume": 202, "typical_volume": 1406.65, "trend": 91.543333, "fair_value": 82.681407, "relative_strength": 3.078414, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.7643, "energy": 48.573773, "activity_lines": [ 96.813332, 96.003636, 95.267789, 93.558264 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }