{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a2fd6fed-d9dd-46e1-9ca7-b54e76b9f5f9", "symbol": "GPG", "name": "Genova Property Group AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 93.254, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.837, "architecture_energy": 22.033, "architecture_maturity": 44.966, "architecture_confidence": 92.207, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.01, "rotation_up": 22.67, "upward_expansion": 12.99, "deceleration": 41.65, "rotation_down": 38.0, "downward_expansion": 62.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.28683, 37.206907, 37.48063, 37.985111 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 37.0, "trend_reference": 38.75788, "distance_from_trend": -0.045355, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 41.20712, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.102097, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.98595, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.083061, "excess_performance": -0.144555, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.045355, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017949, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.102097, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001131, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.15986, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005985, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.083061, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.440862, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29729, "relative_activity": 0.967539, "balance": 0.440862, "dry_up": 0.625415, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04599, "annualized_volatility": 0.235638, "from_high_reference": -0.224102, "from_low_reference": 0.063632 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.75788, "fair_value_reference": 41.20712, "structural_low": 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37.089316, 37.360999, 37.872044, 38.422828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.271221, "volume": 13702, "typical_volume": 33787.95, "trend": 38.980466, "fair_value": 41.314449, "relative_strength": -12.369626, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.667101, "energy": 30.83939, "activity_lines": [ 37.156853, 37.32953, 37.753084, 38.30789 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.072441, "volume": 2432, "typical_volume": 31972.95, "trend": 38.911433, "fair_value": 41.280673, "relative_strength": -13.829655, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.111635, "energy": 27.366127, "activity_lines": [ 37.186716, 37.267896, 37.623235, 38.184792 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.668782, "volume": 31004, "typical_volume": 31551.7, "trend": 38.852393, "fair_value": 41.243232, "relative_strength": -13.247763, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.574632, "energy": 17.901942, "activity_lines": [ 37.383863, 37.306098, 37.574315, 38.104621 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.0, "volume": 29729, "typical_volume": 30726.4, "trend": 38.75788, "fair_value": 41.20712, "relative_strength": -15.98595, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.836857, "energy": 22.032932, "activity_lines": [ 37.28683, 37.206907, 37.48063, 37.985111 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }