{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a31daad0-adf8-4c2a-9fb0-bf23fb114606", "symbol": "GMIN", "name": "G Mining Ventures Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 93.232, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -5.146, "architecture_energy": 8.012, "architecture_maturity": 21.275, "architecture_confidence": 58.175, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.19, "rotation_up": 33.56, "upward_expansion": 21.09, "deceleration": 38.07, "rotation_down": 18.76, "downward_expansion": 52.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.533333, 42.980182, 43.442238, 44.574043 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 50.25, "trend_reference": 45.711333, "distance_from_trend": 0.09929, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.17109, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.491189, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 15.847304, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.088133, "excess_performance": -0.032288, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.09929, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044767, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.491189, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.659396, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.158473, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.325273, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.088133, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.046604, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10935700, "relative_activity": 3.528391, "balance": 1.046604, "dry_up": 1.74474, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.121959, "annualized_volatility": 0.817423, "from_high_reference": -0.144535, "from_low_reference": 1.935163 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.711333, "fair_value_reference": 20.17109, "structural_low": 34.389999, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.024096, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.352941, "median_excess_return": -0.019506, "regime_survival": 0.352941, "best_return": 0.340741, "worst_return": -0.147368, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0125, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.020229, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.698559, "worst_return": -0.193182, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.0625, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.045095, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.2, "worst_return": -0.090909, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.525641, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.54021, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.402567, "worst_return": -0.235955, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.156359, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.050712, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.202186, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.348306, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.273775, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.180733, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.192585, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.283154, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.149193, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.068952, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.161875, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.219086, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.024455, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.76, "volume": 151925, "typical_volume": 136895.0, "trend": 4.192, "fair_value": 3.495897, "relative_strength": 32.05023, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": 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41.357454, 44.601666, 45.278881 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 45.349998, "volume": 202400, "typical_volume": 2873250.0, "trend": 45.329999, "fair_value": 18.944102, "relative_strength": 13.220582, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.740561, "energy": 31.175512, "activity_lines": [ 41.310666, 41.651454, 44.488571, 45.305698 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 41.709999, "volume": 3050200, "typical_volume": 2927790.0, "trend": 45.373999, "fair_value": 19.183526, "relative_strength": 3.007502, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.713149, "energy": 19.796422, "activity_lines": [ 41.981333, 41.387272, 44.047714, 45.07215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.560001, "volume": 2495800, "typical_volume": 2895530.0, "trend": 45.237333, "fair_value": 19.397115, "relative_strength": -7.815653, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.799419, "energy": 27.327449, "activity_lines": [ 40.800666, 40.471091, 43.247238, 44.568021 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 43.0, "volume": 3223200, "typical_volume": 2900845.0, "trend": 45.248666, "fair_value": 19.641731, "relative_strength": 4.216547, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.645047, "energy": 18.415273, "activity_lines": [ 41.409333, 40.837636, 43.052, 44.423677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.73, "volume": 4975500, "typical_volume": 2938815.0, "trend": 45.400666, "fair_value": 19.88359, "relative_strength": 2.957682, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.459003, "energy": 19.856845, "activity_lines": [ 41.806667, 41.237454, 42.875904, 44.261182 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.25, "volume": 10935700, "typical_volume": 3099345.0, "trend": 45.711333, "fair_value": 20.17109, "relative_strength": 15.847304, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.146084, "energy": 8.011717, "activity_lines": [ 44.533333, 42.980182, 43.442238, 44.574043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }