{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a322b6a9-7511-44c1-98bc-fd98370fa700", "symbol": "USFD", "name": "US Foods Holding Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.159, "architecture_energy": 57.66, "architecture_maturity": 29.398, "architecture_confidence": 75.441, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.24, "rotation_up": 69.16, "upward_expansion": 80.69, "deceleration": 61.27, "rotation_down": 14.49, "downward_expansion": 7.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 102.252667, 100.362, 95.379619, 93.976731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 108.88, "trend_reference": 92.232333, "distance_from_trend": 0.180497, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 67.115769, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.622272, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.966521, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.205358, "excess_performance": 0.079733, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.180497, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089174, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.622272, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.278445, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.139665, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.220023, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.205358, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.198013, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15882147, "relative_activity": 1.276536, "balance": 1.198013, "dry_up": 0.995567, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056343, "annualized_volatility": 0.349915, "from_high_reference": -0.010946, "from_low_reference": 0.558211 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 92.232333, "fair_value_reference": 67.115769, "structural_low": 79.52, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.002603, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.02219, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.078233, "worst_return": -0.198168, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.00965, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.032744, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.187963, "worst_return": -0.175623, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.113695, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.019236, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.23876, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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99.608667, 94.167273, 91.787333, 91.133935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 97.27, "volume": 12123502, "typical_volume": 12691716.4, "trend": 89.564333, "fair_value": 65.957564, "relative_strength": 6.149838, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.163001, "energy": 76.759698, "activity_lines": [ 99.444667, 95.443273, 92.358333, 91.673806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 97.17, "volume": 10575604, "typical_volume": 12696616.25, "trend": 90.257667, "fair_value": 66.306538, "relative_strength": 6.650465, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.254682, "energy": 67.788135, "activity_lines": [ 98.984, 96.467091, 92.916667, 92.164495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 100.59, "volume": 10964555, "typical_volume": 12532416.75, "trend": 91.122667, "fair_value": 66.681538, "relative_strength": 9.220293, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.241231, "energy": 47.439658, "activity_lines": [ 99.312667, 97.843818, 93.767571, 92.831097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 108.88, "volume": 15882147, "typical_volume": 12441600.05, "trend": 92.232333, "fair_value": 67.115769, "relative_strength": 13.966521, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.159277, "energy": 57.659602, "activity_lines": [ 102.252667, 100.362, 95.379619, 93.976731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }