{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a3249a49-6dd4-402f-9e89-0219442e6de7", "symbol": "605333", "name": "Kunshan Huguang Auto Harness Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.034, "architecture_energy": 63.746, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.634, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.56, "rotation_up": 28.25, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 59.92, "rotation_down": 52.19, "downward_expansion": 83.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.642666, 16.933755, 18.803812, 20.70786 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 16.91, "trend_reference": 23.485815, "distance_from_trend": -0.279991, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.366842, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.358664, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.042756, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.4191, "excess_performance": -0.375896, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.279991, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151395, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.358664, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.291898, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.380428, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122069, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.4191, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.249889, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12728327, "relative_activity": 1.162451, "balance": 0.249889, "dry_up": 1.326381, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 7 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095437, "annualized_volatility": 0.426758, "from_high_reference": -0.575978, "from_low_reference": 0.090264 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.485815, "fair_value_reference": 26.366842, "structural_low": 15.51, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.022023, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.033717, "regime_survival": 0.85, "best_return": 0.559802, "worst_return": -0.203895, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.024985, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.000661, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.580044, "worst_return": -0.275599, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.068174, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.11684, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.314145, "worst_return": -0.438224, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.531382, "energy": 71.58598, "activity_lines": [ 16.807333, 17.854051, 20.221447, 22.197524 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.58, "volume": 14777220, "typical_volume": 10407248.5, "trend": 24.328815, "fair_value": 26.345093, "relative_strength": -42.484627, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.364063, "energy": 71.087301, "activity_lines": [ 16.278666, 17.22288, 19.59514, 21.603041 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.459999, "volume": 15382082, "typical_volume": 10762247.6, "trend": 23.916482, "fair_value": 26.346212, "relative_strength": -35.161942, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.091063, "energy": 65.82171, "activity_lines": [ 16.583333, 17.07742, 19.203262, 21.159892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.91, "volume": 12728327, "typical_volume": 10949558.65, "trend": 23.485815, "fair_value": 26.366842, "relative_strength": -38.042756, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.03432, "energy": 63.746476, "activity_lines": [ 16.642666, 16.933755, 18.803812, 20.70786 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }