{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a32acd98-2af5-4227-8fa8-d4f93d52f986",
    "symbol": "VOD",
    "name": "Vodafone Group PLC ADR",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.781,
    "architecture_energy": 56.118,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.463,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.918,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.16,
        "rotation_up": 75.94,
        "upward_expansion": 83.26,
        "deceleration": 48.65,
        "rotation_down": 11.17,
        "downward_expansion": 9.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        15.714667,
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        15.015964,
        14.946892
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 16.19,
    "trend_reference": 14.808541,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.093288,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.053692,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.610354,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 5.209873,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.091641,
    "excess_performance": -0.095813,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093288,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061895,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.610354,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.070288,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052099,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026986,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091641,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.019555,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 33837146,
      "relative_activity": 1.690226,
      "balance": 2.019555,
      "dry_up": 1.235334,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.062457,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.327931,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012504,
      "from_low_reference": 0.515523
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.808541,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.053692,
      "structural_low": 12.875,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.073411,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
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        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.157941,
        "worst_return": -0.194319,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.010452,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.274853,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.270936,
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      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      {
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 9.806372,
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 19378827.3,
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        "relative_strength": 7.317081,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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        "direction": 42.40926,
        "energy": 21.861226,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.15,
        "volume": 16427105,
        "typical_volume": 19218638.15,
        "trend": 14.621015,
        "fair_value": 9.947163,
        "relative_strength": 4.714003,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.678752,
        "energy": 17.549171,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.78,
        "volume": 21347413,
        "typical_volume": 19246329.5,
        "trend": 14.710562,
        "fair_value": 9.998982,
        "relative_strength": 8.093226,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.002799,
        "energy": 41.132453,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.287333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.19,
        "volume": 33837146,
        "typical_volume": 20019300.4,
        "trend": 14.808541,
        "fair_value": 10.053692,
        "relative_strength": 5.209873,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.781199,
        "energy": 56.118068,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}