{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a3344e36-5da3-4a74-ac8a-b864e24deed9",
    "symbol": "EIRL",
    "name": "ISHARES TRUST MSCI IRELAND ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.281,
    "architecture_energy": 80.386,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.478,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.128,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.3,
        "rotation_up": 65.56,
        "upward_expansion": 90.6,
        "deceleration": 48.2,
        "rotation_down": 21.4,
        "downward_expansion": 17.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        75.55021
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 82.6774,
    "trend_reference": 73.909874,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.118625,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 63.459335,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.302841,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.285827,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.111019,
    "excess_performance": -0.014606,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118625,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037161,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.302841,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100571,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032858,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067528,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111019,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 13.371215,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 21861,
      "relative_activity": 0.421848,
      "balance": 13.371215,
      "dry_up": 0.495345,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027685,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.209463,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003286,
      "from_low_reference": 0.289374
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 73.909874,
      "fair_value_reference": 63.459335,
      "structural_low": 64.887196,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.012457,
        "positive_rate": 0.645161,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.645161,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001734,
        "regime_survival": 0.806452,
        "best_return": 0.131679,
        "worst_return": -0.102594,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.08109,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.094982,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "trend": 70.048969,
        "fair_value": 61.194453,
        "relative_strength": -5.329341,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 34880.9,
        "trend": 70.555549,
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 70.745048,
        "fair_value": 61.586742,
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "energy": 28.120285,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 33739.25,
        "trend": 70.984206,
        "fair_value": 61.729076,
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": 49.722571,
        "energy": 36.544593,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 74.918352,
        "volume": 29144,
        "typical_volume": 33273.25,
        "trend": 71.261696,
        "fair_value": 61.875914,
        "relative_strength": -4.157405,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 41.286494,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 75.175832,
        "volume": 314889,
        "typical_volume": 47867.0,
        "trend": 71.547232,
        "fair_value": 62.028358,
        "relative_strength": -1.243854,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.80491,
        "energy": 49.765071,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 77.431068,
        "volume": 45185,
        "typical_volume": 49091.05,
        "trend": 71.854661,
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        "relative_strength": 1.230681,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.164801,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 62.342246,
        "relative_strength": 0.23377,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 70.495522,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 275680,
        "typical_volume": 58203.0,
        "trend": 72.438997,
        "fair_value": 62.501156,
        "relative_strength": 4.290175,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.808133,
        "energy": 76.436595,
        "activity_lines": [
          77.297608,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 79.51,
        "volume": 81357,
        "typical_volume": 59733.8,
        "trend": 72.734381,
        "fair_value": 62.67678,
        "relative_strength": 3.337164,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.639888,
        "energy": 80.851838,
        "activity_lines": [
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          73.421662
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 79.1034,
        "volume": 26493,
        "typical_volume": 57528.2,
        "trend": 72.969363,
        "fair_value": 62.826076,
        "relative_strength": 1.438252,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.327032,
        "energy": 80.296312,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.746985,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 78.585,
        "volume": 10858,
        "typical_volume": 55562.95,
        "trend": 73.163592,
        "fair_value": 62.97362,
        "relative_strength": 2.289769,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.51657,
        "energy": 75.783066,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.816213,
          77.799198,
          75.426434,
          74.194866
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 78.8231,
        "volume": 14858,
        "typical_volume": 52000.9,
        "trend": 73.360907,
        "fair_value": 63.121178,
        "relative_strength": 3.18744,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.684705,
        "energy": 70.841106,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.88788,
          78.21021,
          75.96479,
          74.559995
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 79.6123,
        "volume": 55102,
        "typical_volume": 51875.5,
        "trend": 73.580456,
        "fair_value": 63.276274,
        "relative_strength": 3.023928,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.148552,
        "energy": 65.381033,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.121713,
          78.626524,
          76.53353,
          74.963311
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 82.6774,
        "volume": 21861,
        "typical_volume": 51821.95,
        "trend": 73.909874,
        "fair_value": 63.459335,
        "relative_strength": 3.285827,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.280738,
        "energy": 80.386118,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.30526,
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          77.334857,
          75.55021
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}