{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a338c62a-03d0-466b-b3eb-d81688f32598",
    "symbol": "INFH",
    "name": "Amundi US Inflation Expectations 10Y UCITS ETF EUR Hedged Dist",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.008,
    "architecture_energy": 49.376,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.698,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.942,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.83,
        "rotation_up": 58.79,
        "upward_expansion": 81.61,
        "deceleration": 52.08,
        "rotation_down": 17.26,
        "downward_expansion": 8.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        113.406,
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        113.149,
        112.842753
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 113.349998,
    "trend_reference": 112.369667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.008724,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 109.022854,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.03969,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.238982,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.017687,
    "excess_performance": -0.153205,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008724,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00739,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03969,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00835,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13239,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026114,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017687,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.518724,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3727,
      "relative_activity": 1.360393,
      "balance": 2.518724,
      "dry_up": 1.599566,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.005171,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.025379,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008918,
      "from_low_reference": 0.028678
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 112.369667,
      "fair_value_reference": 109.022854,
      "structural_low": 110.419998,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.000817,
        "positive_rate": 0.565217,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.565217,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009111,
        "regime_survival": 0.73913,
        "best_return": 0.017337,
        "worst_return": -0.014559,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": -0.042925,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.010565,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.012433,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.098101,
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        "worst_return": 0.002534,
        "sufficient": false
      },
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.019225,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "relative_strength": -8.784627,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.115195,
        "energy": 51.398904,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 113.110001,
        "volume": 551,
        "typical_volume": 2892.65,
        "trend": 111.181524,
        "fair_value": 108.091307,
        "relative_strength": -9.236379,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.383486,
        "energy": 75.864215,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 113.360001,
        "volume": 7851,
        "typical_volume": 3260.75,
        "trend": 111.25619,
        "fair_value": 108.16377,
        "relative_strength": -10.62758,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.116223,
        "energy": 79.621781,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 114.050003,
        "volume": 3495,
        "typical_volume": 3425.9,
        "trend": 111.369857,
        "fair_value": 108.240657,
        "relative_strength": -9.493299,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.182259,
        "energy": 88.054683,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.358002,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 113.419998,
        "volume": 4005,
        "typical_volume": 3626.15,
        "trend": 111.46,
        "fair_value": 108.313504,
        "relative_strength": -10.364107,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.941927,
        "energy": 78.780909,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.488001,
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          111.92213
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 113.440002,
        "volume": 1060,
        "typical_volume": 3654.45,
        "trend": 111.545334,
        "fair_value": 108.38648,
        "relative_strength": -10.960008,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.760814,
        "energy": 66.58293,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.524001,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 113.330002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3649.8,
        "trend": 111.630001,
        "fair_value": 108.458751,
        "relative_strength": -10.484986,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.540191,
        "energy": 53.804298,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.475335,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 112.989998,
        "volume": 301,
        "typical_volume": 3646.35,
        "trend": 111.701334,
        "fair_value": 108.528843,
        "relative_strength": -13.13513,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.661386,
        "energy": 43.713118,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 112.779999,
        "volume": 13,
        "typical_volume": 3636.35,
        "trend": 111.780667,
        "fair_value": 108.592921,
        "relative_strength": -15.067294,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.946134,
        "energy": 32.982945,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 112.360001,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 3530.9,
        "trend": 111.842334,
        "fair_value": 108.654308,
        "relative_strength": -12.373426,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.820415,
        "energy": 23.948669,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.799333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 113.019997,
        "volume": 59,
        "typical_volume": 3487.0,
        "trend": 111.916334,
        "fair_value": 108.71545,
        "relative_strength": -14.015989,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.631059,
        "energy": 24.339339,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.812666,
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          112.435699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 113.190002,
        "volume": 3415,
        "typical_volume": 3640.35,
        "trend": 111.997667,
        "fair_value": 108.778577,
        "relative_strength": -13.130892,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.370015,
        "energy": 23.142121,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.910666,
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          112.517871
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 113.160004,
        "volume": 442,
        "typical_volume": 3635.8,
        "trend": 112.084,
        "fair_value": 108.837805,
        "relative_strength": -11.520491,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.560329,
        "energy": 24.161868,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.008001,
          113.039092,
          112.945429,
          112.592861
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 113.449997,
        "volume": 8413,
        "typical_volume": 3526.7,
        "trend": 112.180334,
        "fair_value": 108.898891,
        "relative_strength": -10.77103,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.544893,
        "energy": 41.513113,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.190667,
          113.089273,
          113.02,
          112.68099
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 113.620003,
        "volume": 4947,
        "typical_volume": 2858.3,
        "trend": 112.282334,
        "fair_value": 108.961067,
        "relative_strength": -10.856009,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.401653,
        "energy": 45.643501,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.385334,
          113.181273,
          113.101572,
          112.773872
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 113.349998,
        "volume": 3727,
        "typical_volume": 2739.65,
        "trend": 112.369667,
        "fair_value": 109.022854,
        "relative_strength": -13.238982,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.008088,
        "energy": 49.376374,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.406,
          113.220546,
          113.149,
          112.842753
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}