{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a33db06b-9734-4027-89d1-cb43f4af1323", "symbol": "BOUT", "name": "CAPITAL-FORCE ETF TRUST", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.712, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.269, "architecture_energy": 24.037, "architecture_maturity": 62.082, "architecture_confidence": 82.216, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.91, "rotation_up": 23.09, "upward_expansion": 54.32, "deceleration": 93.73, "rotation_down": 27.59, "downward_expansion": 20.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.37682, 46.692196, 46.357546, 45.103824 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 46.4163, "trend_reference": 43.384443, "distance_from_trend": 0.069883, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.902503, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.257809, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.448656, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.166476, "excess_performance": 0.040851, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069883, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083637, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.257809, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044286, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.014487, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063118, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.166476, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.592951, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15800, "relative_activity": 1.513149, "balance": 0.592951, "dry_up": 1.061359, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035069, "annualized_volatility": 0.181919, "from_high_reference": -0.060589, "from_low_reference": 0.32886 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.384443, "fair_value_reference": 36.902503, "structural_low": 37.44, "invalidation": "A 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64.52556, "energy": 60.88832, "activity_lines": [ 47.439733, 46.987436, 45.323667, 43.824871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 46.662, "volume": 18510, "typical_volume": 16807.05, "trend": 42.153464, "fair_value": 36.527308, "relative_strength": 4.784161, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.67925, "energy": 55.511332, "activity_lines": [ 47.269087, 46.993584, 45.612986, 44.137973 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 46.5856, "volume": 14563, "typical_volume": 17200.45, "trend": 42.484229, "fair_value": 36.620847, "relative_strength": 6.162943, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.652347, "energy": 46.965, "activity_lines": [ 46.978273, 46.963531, 45.869129, 44.423917 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.2648, "volume": 7844, "typical_volume": 17401.2, "trend": 42.78201, "fair_value": 36.710075, "relative_strength": 5.963695, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.007542, "energy": 33.820486, "activity_lines": [ 46.642927, 46.87034, 46.067346, 44.667825 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.2358, "volume": 6123, "typical_volume": 9956.25, "trend": 43.112103, "fair_value": 36.803789, "relative_strength": 4.665333, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.50435, "energy": 27.465877, "activity_lines": [ 46.42426, 46.76492, 46.222927, 44.89065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.4163, "volume": 15800, "typical_volume": 10441.8, "trend": 43.384443, "fair_value": 36.902503, "relative_strength": 1.448656, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.269033, "energy": 24.037175, "activity_lines": [ 46.37682, 46.692196, 46.357546, 45.103824 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }