{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a33ea0e2-50e3-4a82-9f38-f9f25580f983", "symbol": "XSXD", "name": "Xtrackers S&P 500 Swap UCITS ETF 1D", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.909, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.024, "architecture_energy": 63.546, "architecture_maturity": 66.024, "architecture_confidence": 69.485, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.22, "rotation_up": 54.06, "upward_expansion": 81.06, "deceleration": 69.2, "rotation_down": 27.92, "downward_expansion": 10.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.597533, 16.512236, 16.361775, 16.037128 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 17.042999, "trend_reference": 15.665368, "distance_from_trend": 0.087941, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.788309, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.332702, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.359935, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.131839, "excess_performance": 0.080603, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087941, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0356, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.332702, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004753, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033599, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023935, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.131839, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.992214, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 225676, "relative_activity": 0.546146, "balance": 0.992214, "dry_up": 2.004967, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017822, "annualized_volatility": 0.128885, "from_high_reference": -0.003217, "from_low_reference": 0.233292 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.665368, "fair_value_reference": 12.788309, "structural_low": 13.968601, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.108513, "energy": 56.254025, "activity_lines": [ 16.372666, 16.383475, 15.97853, 15.703277 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 16.59, "volume": 204609, "typical_volume": 343002.4, "trend": 15.464626, "fair_value": 12.61018, "relative_strength": 4.586799, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.745041, "energy": 63.0619, "activity_lines": [ 16.442866, 16.430194, 16.074087, 15.779535 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.422001, "volume": 919103, "typical_volume": 376925.45, "trend": 15.515209, "fair_value": 12.653726, "relative_strength": 2.48426, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.862829, "energy": 58.61962, "activity_lines": [ 16.446934, 16.433663, 16.146254, 15.841301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.362, "volume": 81842, "typical_volume": 326789.5, "trend": 15.558019, "fair_value": 12.696395, "relative_strength": 0.813135, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.553823, "energy": 56.472556, "activity_lines": [ 16.426333, 16.422018, 16.206032, 15.895932 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.306999, "volume": 2087311, "typical_volume": 416810.85, "trend": 15.603441, "fair_value": 12.739517, "relative_strength": -0.753643, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.106383, "energy": 46.830883, "activity_lines": [ 16.393266, 16.399054, 16.253022, 15.944254 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.042999, "volume": 225676, "typical_volume": 413215.3, "trend": 15.665368, "fair_value": 12.788309, "relative_strength": 3.359935, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.024253, "energy": 63.545822, "activity_lines": [ 16.597533, 16.512236, 16.361775, 16.037128 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }