{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a3571e20-9425-468e-ade2-3d25b8665e21",
    "symbol": "ABEQ",
    "name": "UNIFIED SERIES TRUST ABSOLUTE SELECT VALUE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 56.174,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 39.753,
    "architecture_energy": 55.19,
    "architecture_maturity": 3.835,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.283,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.56,
        "rotation_up": 68.77,
        "upward_expansion": 52.44,
        "deceleration": 18.98,
        "rotation_down": 14.85,
        "downward_expansion": 25.1
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        38.202613,
        37.913761,
        37.626372,
        37.700109
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 38.67,
    "trend_reference": 37.802857,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.022939,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 32.535069,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.188564,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.450386,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.000756,
    "excess_performance": -0.124869,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022939,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016514,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.188564,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022272,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064504,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022414,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000756,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.710815,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 67469,
      "relative_activity": 1.061972,
      "balance": 2.710815,
      "dry_up": 1.020513,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016034,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.089207,
      "from_high_reference": -0.03518,
      "from_low_reference": 0.134102
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 37.802857,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.535069,
      "structural_low": 36.649454,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.002211,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006747,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.028213,
        "worst_return": -0.007845,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.036198,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002085,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.049364,
        "worst_return": -0.012295,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.021728,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.063551,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.068874,
        "worst_return": -0.010679,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.007033,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.135397,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.128673,
        "worst_return": 0.004303,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.029789,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006716,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007925,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006338,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.006397,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01649,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.043202,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.039081,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.047059,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.026899,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005654,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012712,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010331,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 19.879538,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 37.46465,
        "volume": 69660,
        "typical_volume": 71803.65,
        "trend": 36.846699,
        "fair_value": 31.526436,
        "relative_strength": -4.871209,
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        "energy": 12.161364,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 71397.4,
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        "fair_value": 31.59052,
        "relative_strength": -5.844097,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 66590,
        "typical_volume": 72057.0,
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        "fair_value": 31.654113,
        "relative_strength": -8.691758,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 75209.3,
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        "fair_value": 31.717204,
        "relative_strength": -8.665524,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 76356.9,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "energy": 35.606666,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 36.841598,
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        "typical_volume": 77814.5,
        "trend": 37.18873,
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        "relative_strength": -10.365294,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "direction": -29.528111,
        "energy": 47.664275,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 36.917939,
        "volume": 58355,
        "typical_volume": 79024.75,
        "trend": 37.258457,
        "fair_value": 31.917748,
        "relative_strength": -7.640052,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.634098,
        "energy": 45.121991,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 76999.7,
        "trend": 37.31677,
        "fair_value": 31.982922,
        "relative_strength": -7.39151,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.940926,
        "energy": 28.361152,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 71662.75,
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        "fair_value": 32.050615,
        "relative_strength": -7.853051,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.599076,
        "energy": 27.90037,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 37.6559,
        "volume": 71529,
        "typical_volume": 71442.25,
        "trend": 37.423015,
        "fair_value": 32.118692,
        "relative_strength": -4.273802,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -5.225626,
        "energy": 9.88311,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.271333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 37.8277,
        "volume": 80550,
        "typical_volume": 72677.6,
        "trend": 37.48789,
        "fair_value": 32.189412,
        "relative_strength": -5.712742,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.381084,
        "energy": 16.260769,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.498876,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 37.42,
        "volume": 62504,
        "typical_volume": 72964.2,
        "trend": 37.536694,
        "fair_value": 32.256224,
        "relative_strength": -7.806869,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 3.689089,
        "energy": 13.99311,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.524778,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 37.52,
        "volume": 84250,
        "typical_volume": 67024.05,
        "trend": 37.589493,
        "fair_value": 32.321336,
        "relative_strength": -5.962876,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -10.872202,
        "energy": 16.429502,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.550543,
          37.393542,
          37.388035,
          37.568767
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.1184,
        "volume": 50649,
        "typical_volume": 66588.35,
        "trend": 37.651411,
        "fair_value": 32.389354,
        "relative_strength": -3.789459,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.538662,
        "energy": 26.622371,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.749553,
          37.547594,
          37.44468,
          37.60289
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.2185,
        "volume": 56972,
        "typical_volume": 62743.65,
        "trend": 37.730194,
        "fair_value": 32.460668,
        "relative_strength": -4.445162,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.418132,
        "energy": 34.764154,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.919587,
          37.697942,
          37.514139,
          37.639477
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 38.67,
        "volume": 67469,
        "typical_volume": 63531.8,
        "trend": 37.802857,
        "fair_value": 32.535069,
        "relative_strength": -6.450386,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.753435,
        "energy": 55.190063,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.202613,
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          37.626372,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}