{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a364b20b-25d3-41f9-8443-cd57f944cfc7", "symbol": "002032", "name": "Zhejiang Supor Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 86.093, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -12.832, "architecture_energy": 8.517, "architecture_maturity": 27.471, "architecture_confidence": 72.789, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 65.62, "rotation_up": 35.79, "upward_expansion": 22.63, "deceleration": 46.14, "rotation_down": 26.56, "downward_expansion": 29.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.59, 42.358, 43.072724, 43.089286 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 41.110001, "trend_reference": 42.921333, "distance_from_trend": -0.042201, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.18947, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.10997, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.861039, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.005108, "excess_performance": -0.002292, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.042201, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023814, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.10997, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084411, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.10861, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114217, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.005108, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.055754, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11746158, "relative_activity": 1.393309, "balance": 1.055754, "dry_up": 1.52209, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066455, "annualized_volatility": 0.219261, "from_high_reference": -0.177431, "from_low_reference": 0.042079 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.921333, "fair_value_reference": 46.18947, "structural_low": 39.450001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.011381, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.00455, "regime_survival": 0.307692, "best_return": 0.092261, "worst_return": -0.098665, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.005477, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.074497, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.154852, "worst_return": -0.123955, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.007315, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.110972, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.075254, "worst_return": -0.217064, "sufficient": 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{ "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 42.93, "volume": 13594332, "typical_volume": 7652813.6, "trend": 42.941905, "fair_value": 46.209597, "relative_strength": -4.8649, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.821895, "energy": 5.166068, "activity_lines": [ 42.743333, 42.562037, 43.278538, 43.165738 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 43.59, "volume": 18109715, "typical_volume": 8191042.3, "trend": 42.943107, "fair_value": 46.204233, "relative_strength": -1.328222, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.286815, "energy": 11.921787, "activity_lines": [ 43.210666, 42.654363, 43.295865, 43.207551 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.110001, "volume": 11746158, "typical_volume": 8430403.45, "trend": 42.921333, "fair_value": 46.18947, "relative_strength": -10.861039, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.831516, "energy": 8.516668, "activity_lines": [ 42.59, 42.358, 43.072724, 43.089286 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }