{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a36a7f96-90d2-42d6-8ff5-b03ee3b78efc",
    "symbol": "REX",
    "name": "REX American Resources Corporation",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 49.361,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 0.598,
    "architecture_energy": 8.785,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.992,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.023,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 58.97,
        "rotation_up": 22.51,
        "upward_expansion": 45.55,
        "deceleration": 73.28,
        "rotation_down": 34.65,
        "downward_expansion": 34.88
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        44.548727,
        45.459762,
        44.621914
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 42.8,
    "trend_reference": 42.504,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.006964,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.532564,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.554523,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.905537,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.204277,
    "excess_performance": 0.078652,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006964,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099336,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.554523,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.418205,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009055,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.350912,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.204277,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.62363,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 997081,
      "relative_activity": 1.030515,
      "balance": 0.62363,
      "dry_up": 0.865902,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.074075,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.417367,
      "from_high_reference": -0.1979,
      "from_low_reference": 0.643941
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 42.504,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.532564,
      "structural_low": 32.27,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.027269,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015162,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.355889,
        "worst_return": -0.088018,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.080028,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.050791,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.383963,
        "worst_return": -0.092819,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.318713,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.264535,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.503743,
        "worst_return": -0.133627,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.430198,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.153348,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.203476,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.075581,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.118424,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064707,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023153,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.158969,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007483,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.027325,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037172,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.180135,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.782194,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023723,
        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 923881.95,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 942516.15,
        "trend": 39.092667,
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        "relative_strength": 17.925039,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 39.449667,
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        "relative_strength": 13.875579,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 14.48775,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.813706,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 1004016.8,
        "trend": 40.580667,
        "fair_value": 26.672788,
        "relative_strength": 13.512176,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "energy": 17.401351,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1004359.0,
        "trend": 41.038,
        "fair_value": 26.8625,
        "relative_strength": 16.500426,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.054969,
        "energy": 15.949346,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 47.32,
        "volume": 823507,
        "typical_volume": 1007782.35,
        "trend": 41.485,
        "fair_value": 27.051218,
        "relative_strength": 18.004313,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.666139,
        "energy": 26.621529,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.134667,
          45.746909,
          46.063714,
          44.314925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.41,
        "volume": 739363,
        "typical_volume": 1008071.0,
        "trend": 41.826,
        "fair_value": 27.219071,
        "relative_strength": 10.723786,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.677703,
        "energy": 21.751472,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.780667,
          45.424909,
          45.983619,
          44.503634
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 43.04,
        "volume": 791284,
        "typical_volume": 994862.6,
        "trend": 42.180667,
        "fair_value": 27.378205,
        "relative_strength": 5.540499,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 7.600862,
        "energy": 8.649986,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.932,
          44.956545,
          45.739571,
          44.581957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 42.8,
        "volume": 997081,
        "typical_volume": 967555.8,
        "trend": 42.504,
        "fair_value": 27.532564,
        "relative_strength": 0.905537,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.598382,
        "energy": 8.784835,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.075333,
          44.548727,
          45.459762,
          44.621914
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}