{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a37e7387-12fc-4efe-81c0-ae0ffef90752", "symbol": "8155", "name": "Allied Circuit Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 82.659, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.292, "architecture_energy": 41.389, "architecture_maturity": 5.779, "architecture_confidence": 61.999, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.77, "rotation_up": 15.02, "upward_expansion": 27.21, "deceleration": 52.49, "rotation_down": 62.03, "downward_expansion": 45.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 301.333333, 318.381986, 343.955739, 333.671014 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 320.5, "trend_reference": 306.044648, "distance_from_trend": 0.047233, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 166.096673, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.929599, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.485489, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.545338, "excess_performance": 0.103966, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.047233, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.221559, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.929599, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.717481, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.004855, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.492864, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.545338, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.952584, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3852226, "relative_activity": 0.393086, "balance": 0.952584, "dry_up": 0.491342, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.153153, "annualized_volatility": 0.791086, "from_high_reference": -0.322305, "from_low_reference": 1.688377 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 306.044648, "fair_value_reference": 166.096673, "structural_low": 170.450618, "invalidation": 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"date": "2026-07-31", "close": 272.5, "volume": 4960052, "typical_volume": 10625500.15, "trend": 296.907531, "fair_value": 163.933354, "relative_strength": -8.430006, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -15.438955, "energy": 28.949907, "activity_lines": [ 305.422257, 331.059362, 351.863891, 332.519245 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 295.5, "volume": 3771690, "typical_volume": 9983974.85, "trend": 301.240055, "fair_value": 164.905029, "relative_strength": -3.528605, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.670432, "energy": 44.259292, "activity_lines": [ 296.433333, 321.56049, 346.777797, 332.428437 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 320.5, "volume": 3852226, "typical_volume": 9799966.95, "trend": 306.044648, "fair_value": 166.096673, "relative_strength": 0.485489, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.292118, "energy": 41.388696, "activity_lines": [ 301.333333, 318.381986, 343.955739, 333.671014 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }