{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a3839378-0c8d-40ca-b089-195d607e9d51", "symbol": "3023", "name": "SINBON Electronics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.912, "architecture_energy": 32.418, "architecture_maturity": 28.791, "architecture_confidence": 60.516, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.65, "rotation_up": 46.99, "upward_expansion": 73.8, "deceleration": 64.98, "rotation_down": 23.59, "downward_expansion": 5.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 307.594761, 304.347289, 302.76191, 293.192581 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 318.5, "trend_reference": 275.875373, "distance_from_trend": 0.154507, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 249.411547, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.277006, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.548081, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.411334, "excess_performance": 0.065602, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.154507, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.148209, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.277006, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056171, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.035481, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057095, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.411334, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.130536, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3721954, "relative_activity": 0.42611, "balance": 2.130536, "dry_up": 0.795713, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087946, "annualized_volatility": 0.400357, "from_high_reference": -0.069757, "from_low_reference": 0.777518 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 275.875373, "fair_value_reference": 249.411547, "structural_low": 204.849061, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.007634, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.001161, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.092727, "worst_return": -0.125214, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.071298, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.048934, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.221818, "worst_return": -0.206107, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.039712, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.020405, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.178947, "worst_return": -0.1571, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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29.519372, "energy": 19.037405, "activity_lines": [ 291.696028, 299.511958, 296.573383, 284.396464 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 308.0, "volume": 7425156, "typical_volume": 9813789.45, "trend": 267.385332, "fair_value": 248.945091, "relative_strength": -5.859077, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.414875, "energy": 21.539628, "activity_lines": [ 294.50483, 300.23397, 298.413634, 287.28546 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 312.0, "volume": 5482258, "typical_volume": 9175628.65, "trend": 271.554304, "fair_value": 249.167284, "relative_strength": -7.299328, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.336867, "energy": 18.826753, "activity_lines": [ 299.841514, 301.639229, 300.413454, 290.163826 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 318.5, "volume": 3721954, "typical_volume": 8734716.05, "trend": 275.875373, "fair_value": 249.411547, "relative_strength": -3.548081, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.912067, "energy": 32.418205, "activity_lines": [ 307.594761, 304.347289, 302.76191, 293.192581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }