{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a3877a45-d648-4647-a1b0-11f278fc2adc", "symbol": "TINY", "name": "PROSHARES TRUST NANOTECHNOLOGY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 22.059, "architecture_energy": 21.859, "architecture_maturity": 67.564, "architecture_confidence": 93.613, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.82, "rotation_up": 17.58, "upward_expansion": 51.54, "deceleration": 93.92, "rotation_down": 38.3, "downward_expansion": 19.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 79.540267, 82.564007, 82.27432, 78.85181 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 80.3184, "trend_reference": 74.228259, "distance_from_trend": 0.082046, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 50.573875, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.58814, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 12.545144, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.245295, "excess_performance": 0.11967, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082046, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164982, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.58814, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164681, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.125451, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.236452, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.245295, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.301103, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12718, "relative_activity": 0.241955, "balance": 1.301103, "dry_up": 0.981613, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099115, "annualized_volatility": 0.376052, "from_high_reference": -0.172998, "from_low_reference": 0.870648 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 74.228259, "fair_value_reference": 50.573875, "structural_low": 58.0001, "invalidation": "A 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71.06256, "fair_value": 49.533371, "relative_strength": 27.57268, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.624493, "energy": 51.427398, "activity_lines": [ 88.292718, 86.903258, 81.594363, 77.109946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 79.5863, "volume": 106065, "typical_volume": 48715.85, "trend": 71.974369, "fair_value": 49.796803, "relative_strength": 18.546665, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.21292, "energy": 30.880058, "activity_lines": [ 85.011814, 85.837408, 81.913807, 77.659865 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 80.0898, "volume": 44033, "typical_volume": 50422.7, "trend": 72.843899, "fair_value": 50.054552, "relative_strength": 19.076427, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.394892, "energy": 22.03584, "activity_lines": [ 82.663093, 84.907127, 82.224484, 78.183441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 76.43, "volume": 43572, "typical_volume": 52250.55, "trend": 73.544779, "fair_value": 50.296854, "relative_strength": 11.627196, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.678999, "energy": 20.079708, "activity_lines": [ 80.01628, 83.34765, 82.099016, 78.414802 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 80.3184, "volume": 12718, "typical_volume": 52563.5, "trend": 74.228259, "fair_value": 50.573875, "relative_strength": 12.545144, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.059392, "energy": 21.858981, "activity_lines": [ 79.540267, 82.564007, 82.27432, 78.85181 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }