{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a387e103-9167-4ba4-9303-a8f78be9c449",
    "symbol": "GSEU",
    "name": "GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TRUST ACTIVEBETA EUROPE EQUITY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 76.243,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.65,
    "architecture_energy": 75.968,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.189,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.455,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.74,
        "rotation_up": 73.5,
        "upward_expansion": 91.66,
        "deceleration": 42.68,
        "rotation_down": 13.7,
        "downward_expansion": 15.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        49.481807,
        49.013807,
        48.357158,
        47.881441
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 50.5848,
    "trend_reference": 47.503481,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.064865,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.782358,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.304325,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.763164,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.049275,
    "excess_performance": -0.07635,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064865,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029108,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.304325,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035187,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017632,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028827,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049275,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.978588,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 20521,
      "relative_activity": 0.573071,
      "balance": 0.978588,
      "dry_up": 0.682932,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023284,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.185941,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001498,
      "from_low_reference": 0.215924
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 47.503481,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.782358,
      "structural_low": 43.31,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.011455,
        "positive_rate": 0.567568,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.567568,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005958,
        "regime_survival": 0.72973,
        "best_return": 0.088039,
        "worst_return": -0.069073,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.048403,
        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034729,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
        "best_return": 0.108532,
        "worst_return": -0.104732,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.016633,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.060835,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.026464,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.081244,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.207321,
        "worst_return": -0.219522,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013885,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -1.769182,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -1.479337,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 38.332532,
        "relative_strength": -3.548566,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.874767,
        "energy": 52.470808,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 43875.3,
        "trend": 47.162267,
        "fair_value": 38.438265,
        "relative_strength": -1.733782,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.230773,
        "energy": 52.01335,
        "activity_lines": [
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          47.445969
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 48.4116,
        "volume": 31542,
        "typical_volume": 40036.9,
        "trend": 47.248654,
        "fair_value": 38.542074,
        "relative_strength": -1.659567,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.281393,
        "energy": 52.914254,
        "activity_lines": [
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          47.526571
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 49.53,
        "volume": 21095,
        "typical_volume": 37778.75,
        "trend": 47.365654,
        "fair_value": 38.659281,
        "relative_strength": -0.475296,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.953852,
        "energy": 58.088217,
        "activity_lines": [
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          48.052685,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 50.5848,
        "volume": 20521,
        "typical_volume": 35808.85,
        "trend": 47.503481,
        "fair_value": 38.782358,
        "relative_strength": -1.763164,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.650331,
        "energy": 75.968422,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}