{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a38aea5a-5f1d-4d20-b9ca-9a70d71adb20", "symbol": "GFT", "name": "GFT Technologies SE", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.749, "architecture_energy": 66.15, "architecture_maturity": 25.397, "architecture_confidence": 78.074, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.45, "rotation_up": 64.36, "upward_expansion": 84.14, "deceleration": 49.83, "rotation_down": 14.14, "downward_expansion": 13.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.042667, 21.461707, 21.01013, 20.277807 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 23.35, "trend_reference": 19.581311, "distance_from_trend": 0.192464, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.484079, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.038513, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.844334, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.228947, "excess_performance": 0.054701, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.192464, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047869, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.038513, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.119728, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.008443, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081838, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.228947, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.263013, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067091, "annualized_volatility": 0.537144, "from_high_reference": -0.033126, "from_low_reference": 0.665478 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.581311, "fair_value_reference": 22.484079, "structural_low": 14.02, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.054545, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.087317, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.291466, "worst_return": -0.153504, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.138417, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.092081, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.257649, "worst_return": -0.241845, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.149389, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.239941, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.259259, "worst_return": -0.279097, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.088763, 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19.858568, "activity_lines": [ 20.499227, 20.869407, 20.183212, 19.638511 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 20.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 873.55, "trend": 19.317644, "fair_value": 22.539648, "relative_strength": -7.074276, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.137651, "energy": 19.167552, "activity_lines": [ 20.522792, 20.821152, 20.315596, 19.7349 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.35, "volume": 572, "typical_volume": 702.5, "trend": 19.365977, "fair_value": 22.50668, "relative_strength": -9.734812, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.081427, "energy": 17.653449, "activity_lines": [ 20.444667, 20.705252, 20.386123, 19.801503 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.9, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 642.95, "trend": 19.501311, "fair_value": 22.49757, "relative_strength": 1.794882, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.630265, "energy": 36.005836, "activity_lines": [ 21.255333, 21.052034, 20.688507, 20.029505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.35, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 543.7, "trend": 19.581311, "fair_value": 22.484079, "relative_strength": 0.844334, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.749392, "energy": 66.149839, "activity_lines": [ 22.042667, 21.461707, 21.01013, 20.277807 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }