{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a39aac71-a6e0-4624-b14d-e9df8ea021f7", "symbol": "BQM", "name": "Tiong Woon Corporation Holding Ltd", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 80.529, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 16.84, "architecture_energy": 9.889, "architecture_maturity": 27.362, "architecture_confidence": 69.064, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.55, "rotation_up": 28.02, "upward_expansion": 56.9, "deceleration": 83.69, "rotation_down": 23.13, "downward_expansion": 13.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.038, 1.037091, 1.045238, 1.036957 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1.02, "trend_reference": 1.021333, "distance_from_trend": -0.001305, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.650993, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.566836, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.813353, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.035533, "excess_performance": -0.119302, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.001305, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090974, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.566836, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.261888, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.058134, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.292978, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.035533, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.331864, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 171200, "relative_activity": 0.255837, "balance": 0.331864, "dry_up": 0.445773, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041478, "annualized_volatility": 0.19604, "from_high_reference": -0.097345, "from_low_reference": 0.408816 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.021333, "fair_value_reference": 0.650993, "structural_low": 0.915, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.012987, "positive_rate": 0.764706, "directional_follow_through": 0.764706, "median_excess_return": 0.001231, "regime_survival": 0.529412, "best_return": 0.262821, "worst_return": -0.068628, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.034856, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.016244, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.311688, "worst_return": -0.050915, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.104166, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.041805, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.363636, "worst_return": -0.134393, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 857445.0, "trend": 1.004667, "fair_value": 0.643697, "relative_strength": 0.679363, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.786668, "energy": 23.483977, "activity_lines": [ 1.046, 1.041818, 1.04669, 1.034247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.04, "volume": 427600, "typical_volume": 721955.0, "trend": 1.013333, "fair_value": 0.647409, "relative_strength": -2.817265, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.468866, "energy": 18.253298, "activity_lines": [ 1.046, 1.040909, 1.047071, 1.036527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.02, "volume": 171200, "typical_volume": 669175.0, "trend": 1.021333, "fair_value": 0.650993, "relative_strength": -5.813353, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.839659, "energy": 9.889364, "activity_lines": [ 1.038, 1.037091, 1.045238, 1.036957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }