{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a39b5c5b-6cc1-484b-b37b-61e1600f714d", "symbol": "SNPS", "name": "Synopsys Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.679, "architecture_energy": 67.957, "architecture_maturity": 11.339, "architecture_confidence": 84.222, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.85, "rotation_up": 9.12, "upward_expansion": 14.55, "deceleration": 37.47, "rotation_down": 74.25, "downward_expansion": 90.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 397.963333, 413.668091, 438.992405, 440.775161 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 415.99, "trend_reference": 445.739, "distance_from_trend": -0.066741, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 499.403654, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.167027, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.25278, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.025511, "excess_performance": -0.212964, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066741, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013432, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.167027, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.202267, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.212528, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097127, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.025511, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.54074, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7189230, "relative_activity": 0.787724, "balance": 0.54074, "dry_up": 1.104088, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102669, "annualized_volatility": 0.448521, "from_high_reference": -0.338533, "from_low_reference": 0.136585 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 445.739, "fair_value_reference": 499.403654, "structural_low": 366.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.067568, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": 0.011377, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.316319, "worst_return": -0.187174, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.11392, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": 0.048741, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.327794, "worst_return": -0.144821, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.223557, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.13752, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.326606, "worst_return": -0.119905, "sufficient": false }, 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452.354667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 373.47, "volume": 10630953, "typical_volume": 9093344.8, "trend": 452.434, "fair_value": 499.821154, "relative_strength": -27.325674, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.634384, "energy": 69.818834, "activity_lines": [ 404.640667, 427.399545, 447.27669, 447.037269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 388.76, "volume": 11861758, "typical_volume": 9239215.45, "trend": 449.378667, "fair_value": 499.48359, "relative_strength": -23.677264, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.986833, "energy": 71.973034, "activity_lines": [ 394.577667, 416.822182, 441.781048, 442.929269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 415.99, "volume": 7189230, "typical_volume": 9126586.95, "trend": 445.739, "fair_value": 499.403654, "relative_strength": -21.25278, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.679462, "energy": 67.956875, "activity_lines": [ 397.963333, 413.668091, 438.992405, 440.775161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }