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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.428, "architecture_energy": 44.772, "architecture_maturity": 32.713, "architecture_confidence": 71.421, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.37, "rotation_up": 49.62, "upward_expansion": 77.88, "deceleration": 67.6, "rotation_down": 22.69, "downward_expansion": 6.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.38, 2.356364, 2.194548, 2.116034 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.37, "trend_reference": 2.061773, "distance_from_trend": 0.149496, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.117946, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.119009, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.025521, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.213576, "excess_performance": 0.14987, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.149496, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025341, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs 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reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.483853, "energy": 59.433063, "activity_lines": [ 2.188, 2.055545, 1.961566, 1.976452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 2.46, "volume": 49921, "typical_volume": 75288.9, "trend": 2.025098, "fair_value": 2.133617, "relative_strength": 18.926886, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 55.917256, "energy": 71.587773, "activity_lines": [ 2.283333, 2.148636, 2.010652, 2.00507 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.44, "volume": 182774, "typical_volume": 83166.6, "trend": 2.036074, "fair_value": 2.130483, "relative_strength": 17.885023, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.178992, "energy": 69.315378, "activity_lines": [ 2.354667, 2.224273, 2.055652, 2.031838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.33, "volume": 15624, "typical_volume": 76482.0, "trend": 2.042726, "fair_value": 2.127325, "relative_strength": 12.203324, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.055913, "energy": 72.739486, "activity_lines": [ 2.362, 2.266818, 2.088068, 2.050801 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.41, "volume": 17729, "typical_volume": 73982.85, "trend": 2.051058, "fair_value": 2.124339, "relative_strength": 15.827838, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.05952, "energy": 71.128927, "activity_lines": [ 2.392, 2.313273, 2.12767, 2.074496 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.38, "volume": 140056, "typical_volume": 78277.2, "trend": 2.055103, "fair_value": 2.121472, "relative_strength": 11.270459, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.235287, "energy": 56.759607, "activity_lines": [ 2.391333, 2.341636, 2.162802, 2.095718 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.37, "volume": 89386, "typical_volume": 80851.35, "trend": 2.061773, "fair_value": 2.117946, "relative_strength": 7.025521, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.428161, "energy": 44.772172, "activity_lines": [ 2.38, 2.356364, 2.194548, 2.116034 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }