{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a3a6fbd7-b393-4c00-946b-a8b43c527d7a", "symbol": "CAF", "name": "Caisse R\u00e9gionale de Cr\u00e9dit Agricole Mutuel de Paris et d'Ile-de-France", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 55.81, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.313, "architecture_energy": 22.463, "architecture_maturity": 49.851, "architecture_confidence": 81.861, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.63, "rotation_up": 29.56, "upward_expansion": 62.68, "deceleration": 87.98, "rotation_down": 26.15, "downward_expansion": 15.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 119.457332, 120.408363, 117.680997, 115.968965 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 117.639999, "trend_reference": 114.832273, "distance_from_trend": 0.024451, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 77.939596, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.509374, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.272743, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.004038, "excess_performance": -0.049273, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.024451, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022279, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.509374, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012494, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.002727, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092973, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.004038, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.855002, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11594, "relative_activity": 2.611761, "balance": 0.855002, "dry_up": 1.7108, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045563, "annualized_volatility": 0.25175, "from_high_reference": -0.103354, "from_low_reference": 0.487464 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 114.832273, "fair_value_reference": 77.939596, 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71.922078, "energy": 66.946959, "activity_lines": [ 123.676, 121.35091, 116.68418, 115.495325 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 116.220001, "volume": 6900, "typical_volume": 4297.6, "trend": 115.15646, "fair_value": 77.181374, "relative_strength": 3.422046, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.154268, "energy": 43.617908, "activity_lines": [ 121.518667, 120.934183, 116.913145, 115.556025 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 118.879997, "volume": 6446, "typical_volume": 4225.3, "trend": 114.962959, "fair_value": 77.565034, "relative_strength": 3.574246, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.084865, "energy": 36.497723, "activity_lines": [ 120.643999, 120.868, 117.376703, 115.796253 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 117.639999, "volume": 11594, "typical_volume": 4439.15, "trend": 114.832273, "fair_value": 77.939596, "relative_strength": -0.272743, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.31261, "energy": 22.463374, "activity_lines": [ 119.457332, 120.408363, 117.680997, 115.968965 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }