{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a3ad6e64-59d5-45d5-8aa9-e6ce4a2f0cb3", "symbol": "BOTZ", "name": "Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -8.213, "architecture_energy": 33.287, "architecture_maturity": 5.893, "architecture_confidence": 55.826, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.51, "rotation_up": 21.14, "upward_expansion": 25.41, "deceleration": 47.28, "rotation_down": 58.01, "downward_expansion": 48.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.5742, 20.813236, 21.241033, 21.173338 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 21.65, "trend_reference": 21.149567, "distance_from_trend": 0.023662, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.003853, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.139243, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.270048, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.04438, "excess_performance": -0.126512, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023662, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011672, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.139243, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098401, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.1027, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122069, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.04438, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.831121, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 54725, "relative_activity": 1.462668, "balance": 0.831121, "dry_up": 1.461218, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053267, "annualized_volatility": 0.284318, "from_high_reference": -0.08746, "from_low_reference": 0.181511 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.149567, "fair_value_reference": 19.003853, "structural_low": 18.323999, "invalidation": "A 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"2026-06-26", "close": 20.885, "volume": 1422, "typical_volume": 31949.5, "trend": 21.1355, "fair_value": 18.85209, "relative_strength": -10.84809, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.711076, "energy": 18.248177, "activity_lines": [ 21.443333, 21.851545, 21.485567, 21.33189 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 22.08, "volume": 2097, "typical_volume": 31080.35, "trend": 21.178167, "fair_value": 18.885231, "relative_strength": -8.359742, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.260107, "energy": 21.894947, "activity_lines": [ 21.575333, 21.871545, 21.563805, 21.392826 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 21.225, "volume": 38716, "typical_volume": 31471.0, "trend": 21.204667, "fair_value": 18.91043, "relative_strength": -11.369659, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.263846, "energy": 14.155788, "activity_lines": [ 21.459333, 21.719091, 21.55721, 21.395847 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.768, "volume": 36282, "typical_volume": 32074.8, "trend": 21.191767, "fair_value": 18.92716, "relative_strength": -15.992865, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.650627, "energy": 28.152544, "activity_lines": [ 20.907333, 21.309909, 21.415281, 21.303159 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.813999, "volume": 96077, "typical_volume": 35334.75, "trend": 21.171567, "fair_value": 18.943186, "relative_strength": -15.35039, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.697288, "energy": 41.71514, "activity_lines": [ 20.457466, 20.968854, 21.287909, 21.214271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.040001, "volume": 31599, "typical_volume": 35810.8, "trend": 21.1529, "fair_value": 18.965776, "relative_strength": -14.678241, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.094015, "energy": 52.32402, "activity_lines": [ 20.219333, 20.719546, 21.187257, 21.141267 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.65, "volume": 54725, "typical_volume": 37414.5, "trend": 21.149567, "fair_value": 19.003853, "relative_strength": -10.270048, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.212941, "energy": 33.287381, "activity_lines": [ 20.5742, 20.813236, 21.241033, 21.173338 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }