{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a3b5a13e-c85d-43c4-a396-1e91b227c51a", "symbol": "603517", "name": "Juewei Food Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.908, "architecture_energy": 33.284, "architecture_maturity": 51.64, "architecture_confidence": 58.326, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.88, "rotation_up": 23.65, "upward_expansion": 15.77, "deceleration": 66.34, "rotation_down": 42.11, "downward_expansion": 65.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.622667, 10.558727, 11.231667, 11.564172 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.04, "trend_reference": 11.991333, "distance_from_trend": -0.079335, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.406115, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.36574, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.207835, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.132757, "excess_performance": -0.089553, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.079335, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065853, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.36574, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011941, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.142078, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073905, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.132757, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.051879, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22497500, "relative_activity": 0.806106, "balance": 1.051879, "dry_up": 0.896639, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094203, "annualized_volatility": 0.380204, "from_high_reference": -0.358885, "from_low_reference": 0.145228 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.991333, "fair_value_reference": 17.406115, "structural_low": 9.64, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.020927, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.589744, "median_excess_return": -0.028992, "regime_survival": 0.897436, "best_return": 0.319096, "worst_return": -0.176843, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.11836, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.084759, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.255303, "worst_return": -0.285887, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.068736, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.073506, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": -0.000237, "worst_return": -0.427925, 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"relative_strength": -20.986453, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.025186, "energy": 63.633752, "activity_lines": [ 10.192667, 10.619455, 11.392952, 11.71486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.8, "volume": 26519258, "typical_volume": 27788444.35, "trend": 12.048667, "fair_value": 17.557304, "relative_strength": -14.457514, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.138673, "energy": 46.030202, "activity_lines": [ 10.402667, 10.542, 11.297762, 11.629247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.04, "volume": 22497500, "typical_volume": 27908861.4, "trend": 11.991333, "fair_value": 17.406115, "relative_strength": -14.207835, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.907527, "energy": 33.284401, "activity_lines": [ 10.622667, 10.558727, 11.231667, 11.564172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }