{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a3cea901-e0b6-4d49-bbb9-12d928919c3a", "symbol": "COOR", "name": "Coor Service Management Holding AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 66.418, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.13, "architecture_energy": 71.943, "architecture_maturity": 11.081, "architecture_confidence": 90.903, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.68, "rotation_up": 12.72, "upward_expansion": 16.99, "deceleration": 38.0, "rotation_down": 68.08, "downward_expansion": 90.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.845334, 49.807818, 51.848635, 53.085013 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 49.099998, "trend_reference": 53.867894, "distance_from_trend": -0.088511, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 42.466456, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.156207, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.522634, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.05933, "excess_performance": -0.120825, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.088511, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026944, "read": "Rising" 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47.060001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.003003, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.01104, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.142667, "worst_return": -0.178264, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.003663, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.037046, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.240652, "worst_return": -0.178588, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.047002, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.0098, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.386769, "worst_return": -0.172904, "sufficient": true }, { 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48.740002, "volume": 873876, "typical_volume": 1001567.95, "trend": 53.844854, "fair_value": 42.34687, "relative_strength": -11.767334, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.449891, "energy": 69.275695, "activity_lines": [ 50.170001, 51.153636, 52.986439, 53.816435 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.240002, "volume": 500391, "typical_volume": 930752.45, "trend": 53.832191, "fair_value": 42.401367, "relative_strength": -15.396998, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.435187, "energy": 78.600187, "activity_lines": [ 49.084001, 50.233819, 52.301744, 53.390316 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.099998, "volume": 1094287, "typical_volume": 911525.3, "trend": 53.867894, "fair_value": 42.466456, "relative_strength": -13.522634, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.130124, "energy": 71.942552, "activity_lines": [ 48.845334, 49.807818, 51.848635, 53.085013 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }