{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a3d1d99f-cd01-442f-a021-27c35123fd36",
    "symbol": "MIDE",
    "name": "XTRACKERS S&P MIDCAP 400 SCORED & SCREENED ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.462,
    "architecture_energy": 65.631,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.239,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.546,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.47,
        "rotation_up": 58.72,
        "upward_expansion": 84.01,
        "deceleration": 60.05,
        "rotation_down": 26.88,
        "downward_expansion": 10.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        36.800012
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 38.9497,
    "trend_reference": 36.008777,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.081672,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.241604,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.287951,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.019444,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.08558,
    "excess_performance": -0.040045,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081672,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0494,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.287951,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024834,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010194,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002161,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08558,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.88006,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2149,
      "relative_activity": 0.949121,
      "balance": 0.88006,
      "dry_up": 1.317132,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018923,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.1381,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.288378
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 30.241604,
      "structural_low": 32.522468,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.00759,
        "positive_rate": 0.62963,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.62963,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00041,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.081153,
        "worst_return": -0.088591,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.087235,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
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        "typical_volume": 1667.9,
        "trend": 33.512166,
        "fair_value": 29.005442,
        "relative_strength": 1.84037,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 61.885426,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 33.84402,
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        "relative_strength": 0.803394,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 2952,
        "typical_volume": 1603.75,
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        "relative_strength": -1.721053,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 77.204059,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 1653.6,
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        "relative_strength": -0.701706,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 67.65078,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 37.185912,
        "volume": 1173,
        "typical_volume": 1701.9,
        "trend": 34.313692,
        "fair_value": 29.426462,
        "relative_strength": -0.670581,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 1664.2,
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        "relative_strength": 1.367165,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 37.860849,
        "volume": 767,
        "typical_volume": 1693.15,
        "trend": 34.693058,
        "fair_value": 29.593071,
        "relative_strength": 3.053348,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 80.980816,
        "energy": 77.539006,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 1644.7,
        "trend": 35.075547,
        "fair_value": 29.763847,
        "relative_strength": 4.80016,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.022995,
        "energy": 83.401471,
        "activity_lines": [
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          36.31792,
          35.792742
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 37.9305,
        "volume": 9644,
        "typical_volume": 2109.6,
        "trend": 35.243934,
        "fair_value": 29.847603,
        "relative_strength": 2.405178,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.603147,
        "energy": 80.859585,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 37.8369,
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        "typical_volume": 2309.5,
        "trend": 35.397212,
        "fair_value": 29.926129,
        "relative_strength": 0.77791,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.963361,
        "energy": 71.609178,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.88159,
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          36.733437,
          36.144221
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 37.9436,
        "volume": 7867,
        "typical_volume": 2410.1,
        "trend": 35.552408,
        "fair_value": 30.002998,
        "relative_strength": 2.594033,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.811434,
        "energy": 66.052343,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.90518,
          37.708504,
          36.931816,
          36.308504
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.9176,
        "volume": 937,
        "typical_volume": 2299.3,
        "trend": 35.69829,
        "fair_value": 30.078451,
        "relative_strength": 3.063356,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.654937,
        "energy": 57.694586,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.914587,
          37.800364,
          37.115412,
          36.461097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.852,
        "volume": 976,
        "typical_volume": 2265.75,
        "trend": 35.850227,
        "fair_value": 30.155906,
        "relative_strength": 1.705116,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.907501,
        "energy": 53.006014,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.891033,
          37.844968,
          37.272413,
          36.600046
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 38.9497,
        "volume": 2149,
        "typical_volume": 2264.2,
        "trend": 36.008777,
        "fair_value": 30.241604,
        "relative_strength": 1.019444,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.461601,
        "energy": 65.630579,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.242227,
          38.067327,
          37.510983,
          36.800012
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}