{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a3dd2165-25a3-46b5-9fbf-a004fabab9f8", "symbol": "WFC", "name": "Wells Fargo & Company", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 53.395, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 36.24, "architecture_energy": 39.003, "architecture_maturity": 14.531, "architecture_confidence": 52.612, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.0, "rotation_up": 57.58, "upward_expansion": 52.68, "deceleration": 32.87, "rotation_down": 22.55, "downward_expansion": 13.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 86.548023, 85.786834, 83.26081, 82.436021 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 87.25, "trend_reference": 82.572835, "distance_from_trend": 0.056643, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 66.847295, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.305214, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.87126, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.065988, "excess_performance": -0.191613, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056643, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017062, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.305214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.109577, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.068713, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10885, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.065988, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.886752, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 57733396, "relative_activity": 0.74424, "balance": 2.886752, "dry_up": 1.070019, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04655, "annualized_volatility": 0.291339, "from_high_reference": -0.097899, "from_low_reference": 0.198901 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 82.572835, "fair_value_reference": 66.847295, "structural_low": 72.775, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.031765, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.010221, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.18385, "worst_return": -0.071349, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.070113, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.05191, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.205045, "worst_return": -0.064819, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.139263, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.123207, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.186383, "worst_return": 0.092143, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 86.663362, "volume": 57302500, "typical_volume": 81472907.7, "trend": 83.550885, "fair_value": 65.708179, "relative_strength": -5.886096, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.090905, "energy": 50.544156, "activity_lines": [ 84.874524, 82.764336, 80.983716, 81.586323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 87.011368, "volume": 125623834, "typical_volume": 82556160.3, "trend": 83.383955, "fair_value": 65.992498, "relative_strength": -3.87335, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.208079, "energy": 54.995657, "activity_lines": [ 85.779905, 83.922474, 81.651016, 81.80958 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 85.818205, "volume": 73712616, "typical_volume": 81409184.7, "trend": 83.103051, "fair_value": 66.268097, "relative_strength": -4.408642, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.640553, "energy": 51.03642, "activity_lines": [ 86.068807, 84.65692, 82.175905, 81.966628 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 85.957407, "volume": 74951301, "typical_volume": 80095276.05, "trend": 82.828767, "fair_value": 66.550196, "relative_strength": -5.161039, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.295625, "energy": 42.052775, "activity_lines": [ 86.162896, 85.191254, 82.686081, 82.15078 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 87.25, "volume": 57733396, "typical_volume": 77573621.8, "trend": 82.572835, "fair_value": 66.847295, "relative_strength": -6.87126, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.2395, "energy": 39.003177, "activity_lines": [ 86.548023, 85.786834, 83.26081, 82.436021 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }