{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a3dd8b5c-8fad-497b-8837-fcc1721ccdcc", "symbol": "MTARTECH", "name": "MTAR Technologies Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.186, "architecture_energy": 23.719, "architecture_maturity": 83.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.33, "rotation_up": 21.14, "upward_expansion": 48.61, "deceleration": 85.1, "rotation_down": 40.73, "downward_expansion": 28.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 6329.3, 6687.427273, 6799.97762, 6220.858066 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7085.5, "trend_reference": 5343.406665, "distance_from_trend": 0.326027, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2560.107689, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.767657, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 76.708166, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.166356, "excess_performance": 1.210065, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.326027, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.391898, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.767657, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.268871, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.767082, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.7941, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.166356, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.065308, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1040506, "relative_activity": 0.291732, "balance": 2.065308, "dry_up": 0.314803, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135917, "annualized_volatility": 0.706211, "from_high_reference": -0.186883, "from_low_reference": 4.095649 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5343.406665, "fair_value_reference": 2560.107689, "structural_low": 3240.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.001447, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.009742, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.120465, "worst_return": -0.045682, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.257995, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.248276, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.493881, "worst_return": -0.107847, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.429415, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.407057, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.263826, "worst_return": -0.192537, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.647385, "energy": 26.251638, "activity_lines": [ 6437.033333, 6969.4, 6747.010954, 6057.662366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5726.0, "volume": 1620190, "typical_volume": 3594734.55, "trend": 5196.879997, "fair_value": 2528.862176, "relative_strength": 47.851797, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.337389, "energy": 21.223696, "activity_lines": [ 6081.566667, 6683.463636, 6714.322859, 6099.011614 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7085.5, "volume": 1040506, "typical_volume": 3566649.3, "trend": 5343.406665, "fair_value": 2560.107689, "relative_strength": 76.708166, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.185788, "energy": 23.719016, "activity_lines": [ 6329.3, 6687.427273, 6799.97762, 6220.858066 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }