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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.754, "architecture_energy": 66.779, "architecture_maturity": 88.483, "architecture_confidence": 93.912, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.87, "rotation_up": 60.8, "upward_expansion": 87.48, "deceleration": 65.71, "rotation_down": 27.01, "downward_expansion": 11.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 854.519336, 833.234358, 758.438633, 674.631536 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 906.400024, "trend_reference": 571.764064, "distance_from_trend": 0.585269, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 400.005121, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.265971, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 73.679307, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.296715, "excess_performance": 1.351382, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.585269, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.310937, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.265971, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.78803, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.736793, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.565824, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.296715, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 77.242704, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 87, "relative_activity": 0.011614, "balance": 77.242704, "dry_up": 0.050425, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091602, "annualized_volatility": 0.604684, "from_high_reference": -0.03305, "from_low_reference": 1.55047 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 571.764064, "fair_value_reference": 400.005121, "structural_low": 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"trend": 516.15354, "fair_value": 386.035976, "relative_strength": 76.212928, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.603753, "energy": 72.043616, "activity_lines": [ 805.861793, 781.944513, 668.95248, 595.07329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 808.0, "volume": 489, "typical_volume": 8624.8, "trend": 528.559039, "fair_value": 389.300201, "relative_strength": 62.963327, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.027727, "energy": 63.613394, "activity_lines": [ 805.31733, 795.602052, 691.22181, 613.902094 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 829.849976, "volume": 14, "typical_volume": 8625.5, "trend": 541.665547, "fair_value": 392.704491, "relative_strength": 65.532824, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.662183, "energy": 63.063366, "activity_lines": [ 813.872656, 808.176145, 713.416783, 633.340218 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 830.059998, "volume": 921, "typical_volume": 7486.9, "trend": 554.779056, "fair_value": 396.110127, "relative_strength": 61.886763, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.103367, "energy": 63.068291, "activity_lines": [ 821.841325, 816.107581, 733.372403, 651.946312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 906.400024, "volume": 87, "typical_volume": 7491.25, "trend": 571.764064, "fair_value": 400.005121, "relative_strength": 73.679307, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.754367, "energy": 66.779431, "activity_lines": [ 854.519336, 833.234358, 758.438633, 674.631536 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }