{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a402ff77-aa62-404c-80c6-b4aec172122d",
    "symbol": "UIMM",
    "name": "UBS MSCI World Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD dis",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.208,
    "architecture_energy": 57.577,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.592,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.645,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.94,
        "rotation_up": 48.44,
        "upward_expansion": 71.74,
        "deceleration": 85.49,
        "rotation_down": 27.75,
        "downward_expansion": 21.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        179.037335,
        179.065819,
        175.66019,
        171.515921
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 182.940002,
    "trend_reference": 167.083072,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.094904,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 148.571011,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.23133,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.771071,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.149758,
    "excess_performance": 0.085118,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094904,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041542,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.23133,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059507,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037711,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028263,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149758,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.855961,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 53640,
      "relative_activity": 1.553155,
      "balance": 1.855961,
      "dry_up": 0.99178,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020032,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.127159,
      "from_high_reference": -0.018143,
      "from_low_reference": 0.22795
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 167.083072,
      "fair_value_reference": 148.571011,
      "structural_low": 148.979996,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.023633,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007884,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.108778,
        "worst_return": -0.018808,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.035842,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015617,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.08117,
        "worst_return": -0.184921,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.075221,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.040673,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.16071,
        "worst_return": -0.076618,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.016121,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029358,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.221356,
        "worst_return": -0.09527,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.0017,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.041199,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.087741,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.142684,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010868,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010189,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.053684,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.056613,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02838,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.046351,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.001101,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021259,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015209,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 64034.05,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 56434.0,
        "trend": 159.444538,
        "fair_value": 143.001169,
        "relative_strength": 4.820804,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 159.646611,
        "fair_value": 143.341059,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 168.399994,
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        "typical_volume": 52737.55,
        "trend": 160.067849,
        "fair_value": 143.70768,
        "relative_strength": 6.597337,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 160.480509,
        "fair_value": 144.061763,
        "relative_strength": 8.452423,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 56577.65,
        "trend": 160.002496,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 83.139865,
        "energy": 86.327191,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 55357.8,
        "trend": 160.41899,
        "fair_value": 144.787041,
        "relative_strength": 5.870312,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 89.923595,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 5268,
        "typical_volume": 53743.05,
        "trend": 161.017564,
        "fair_value": 145.145353,
        "relative_strength": 7.173121,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 176.259995,
        "volume": 5230,
        "typical_volume": 49412.75,
        "trend": 161.64831,
        "fair_value": 145.506302,
        "relative_strength": 8.987444,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 162.503325,
        "fair_value": 145.903625,
        "relative_strength": 9.083611,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 44810.55,
        "trend": 163.198838,
        "fair_value": 146.284639,
        "relative_strength": 9.946838,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.770809,
        "energy": 91.856543,
        "activity_lines": [
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          165.904697
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 182.179993,
        "volume": 2489,
        "typical_volume": 43000.25,
        "trend": 163.944524,
        "fair_value": 146.693582,
        "relative_strength": 6.77006,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.694558,
        "energy": 94.631124,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 180.960007,
        "volume": 22155,
        "typical_volume": 42220.8,
        "trend": 164.704694,
        "fair_value": 147.085775,
        "relative_strength": 8.72459,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.639173,
        "energy": 89.593278,
        "activity_lines": [
          180.392001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 177.399994,
        "volume": 31104,
        "typical_volume": 41548.6,
        "trend": 165.302342,
        "fair_value": 147.448946,
        "relative_strength": 7.297461,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.963099,
        "energy": 81.59386,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.665332,
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          172.72438,
          169.046112
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 176.740005,
        "volume": 26804,
        "typical_volume": 35025.3,
        "trend": 165.871347,
        "fair_value": 147.797097,
        "relative_strength": 5.511744,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.482839,
        "energy": 64.329163,
        "activity_lines": [
          178.642668,
          178.253455,
          173.608285,
          169.784026
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 176.220001,
        "volume": 25461,
        "typical_volume": 34327.9,
        "trend": 166.44428,
        "fair_value": 148.158161,
        "relative_strength": 2.868106,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.24495,
        "energy": 51.399288,
        "activity_lines": [
          177.624001,
          178.087273,
          174.361524,
          170.451681
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 182.940002,
        "volume": 53640,
        "typical_volume": 34536.15,
        "trend": 167.083072,
        "fair_value": 148.571011,
        "relative_strength": 3.771071,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.207513,
        "energy": 57.576561,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.037335,
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          175.66019,
          171.515921
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}