{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a40efbfd-4360-4dea-bb24-6bf2b2a43354", "symbol": "ITX", "name": "Industria de Dise\u00f1o Textil, S.A.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.302, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.87, "architecture_energy": 47.693, "architecture_maturity": 26.584, "architecture_confidence": 67.291, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.08, "rotation_up": 53.91, "upward_expansion": 76.91, "deceleration": 59.81, "rotation_down": 21.25, "downward_expansion": 5.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.428, 56.088364, 54.808366, 54.104967 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 58.740002, "trend_reference": 53.72079, "distance_from_trend": 0.093431, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 44.960284, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.306486, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.077907, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.050279, "excess_performance": -0.123968, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.093431, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026494, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.306486, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.100325, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.060779, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02819, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.050279, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.06499, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 133, "relative_activity": 2.633663, "balance": 1.06499, "dry_up": 4.876238, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036471, "annualized_volatility": 0.256414, "from_high_reference": -0.008105, "from_low_reference": 0.469743 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.72079, "fair_value_reference": 44.960284, "structural_low": 48.268391, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.00384, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.019158, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.009853, "worst_return": -0.097009, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.045593, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.011667, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.189035, "worst_return": -0.097848, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.091734, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.042041, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.128699, "worst_return": 0.054769, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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"orange", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.048885, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.051164, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.076795, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.033987, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.00384, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.097484, "active": 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"regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.269248, "energy": 67.832786, "activity_lines": [ 56.309335, 54.907455, 53.445351, 53.414874 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 55.099998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.25, "trend": 53.641242, "fair_value": 44.326154, "relative_strength": -9.867065, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.206302, "energy": 53.054186, "activity_lines": [ 55.996, 55.172, 53.655706, 53.509998 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 53.799999, "volume": 477, "typical_volume": 25.1, "trend": 53.605706, "fair_value": 44.469841, "relative_strength": -10.215346, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.376322, "energy": 27.535574, "activity_lines": [ 55.254666, 55.117636, 53.748817, 53.520241 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.459999, "volume": 190, "typical_volume": 34.6, "trend": 53.577093, "fair_value": 44.61851, "relative_strength": -10.281289, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.629262, "energy": 17.273216, "activity_lines": [ 54.883999, 55.146545, 53.914544, 53.575356 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 56.66, "volume": 185, "typical_volume": 43.85, "trend": 53.613947, "fair_value": 44.779719, "relative_strength": -6.647496, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.141835, "energy": 28.581479, "activity_lines": [ 55.331999, 55.48, 54.273468, 53.774254 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.740002, "volume": 133, "typical_volume": 50.5, "trend": 53.72079, "fair_value": 44.960284, "relative_strength": -6.077907, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.869989, "energy": 47.692958, "activity_lines": [ 56.428, 56.088364, 54.808366, 54.104967 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }