{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a40fa74f-21d5-4158-863a-ff9d1a59fffb",
    "symbol": "DB30",
    "name": "Xtrackers - MSCI Korea UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 3.488,
    "architecture_energy": 24.969,
    "architecture_maturity": 65.608,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.975,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 60.84,
        "rotation_up": 14.88,
        "upward_expansion": 42.61,
        "deceleration": 87.95,
        "rotation_down": 44.82,
        "downward_expansion": 34.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        182.013336,
        193.811819,
        196.824239,
        187.059936
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 182.380005,
    "trend_reference": 172.446666,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.057602,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 92.021731,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.981923,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 10.805904,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.371485,
    "excess_performance": 0.197238,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057602,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.24205,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.981923,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.543901,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108059,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.571782,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.371485,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.088307,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2821,
      "relative_activity": 3.23602,
      "balance": 1.088307,
      "dry_up": 3.166906,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.107902,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.568861,
      "from_high_reference": -0.238497,
      "from_low_reference": 1.448711
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 172.446666,
      "fair_value_reference": 92.021731,
      "structural_low": 126.199997,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.006667,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02731,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.256301,
        "worst_return": -0.068924,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.011865,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022935,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.581798,
        "worst_return": -0.121379,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.058229,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001291,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.073414,
        "worst_return": -0.071468,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.023515,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.086103,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.135918,
        "worst_return": -0.182947,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.078428,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.024784,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.048427,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.111254,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.00869,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.010241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.153415,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.116295,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029174,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.000572,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.850618,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
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        "return": 0.227266,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.061577,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019251,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "fair_value": 80.983461,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "direction": 84.222763,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 1873.85,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 51.899724,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 46.735085,
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        "energy": 65.203798,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 159.040666,
        "fair_value": 88.363974,
        "relative_strength": 38.552582,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 64.013593,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 203.699997,
        "volume": 560,
        "typical_volume": 952.95,
        "trend": 162.579333,
        "fair_value": 89.208397,
        "relative_strength": 31.559625,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.71467,
        "energy": 56.044954,
        "activity_lines": [
          215.03333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 179.639999,
        "volume": 2383,
        "typical_volume": 779.65,
        "trend": 165.294666,
        "fair_value": 89.903461,
        "relative_strength": 17.139881,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.953124,
        "energy": 24.322107,
        "activity_lines": [
          202.20333,
          208.779817,
          197.985,
          184.551978
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 185.960007,
        "volume": 2057,
        "typical_volume": 640.8,
        "trend": 168.194,
        "fair_value": 90.627308,
        "relative_strength": 18.39136,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.153038,
        "energy": 27.799573,
        "activity_lines": [
          193.844,
          204.370182,
          198.284905,
          185.885226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 174.360001,
        "volume": 3782,
        "typical_volume": 787.5,
        "trend": 170.338,
        "fair_value": 91.292756,
        "relative_strength": 10.080606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.925609,
        "energy": 22.204024,
        "activity_lines": [
          185.107335,
          198.096546,
          197.253572,
          186.283032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 182.380005,
        "volume": 2821,
        "typical_volume": 871.75,
        "trend": 172.446666,
        "fair_value": 92.021731,
        "relative_strength": 10.805904,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.488328,
        "energy": 24.969217,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.013336,
          193.811819,
          196.824239,
          187.059936
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}